Betfair Politics Are the Republicans going to take the house? Almost certainly the most important elections in the world in the next three month will be the US MidTerms. This comes up every four years half way through presidential terms. At stake are all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and a third of the 100 seats in the Senate. The former have two year terms while the latter serve for six years. There are also a large number…
Is this the way of winning back middle class support? I am writing this on board the excellent X5 bus – the twice an hour service that links Oxford with Cambridge. The vehicles have recently been upgraded – there are leather seats and there’s even free wi-fi. Best of all because I am over 60 I can travel to Cambridge and back for absolutely nothing simply by showing my bus pass, see above, that is valid all over England. It…
Pollster/publication Date CON LAB LD YouGov/Sun 17/08/10 42 37 14 ICM /Guardian 15/08/10 37 37 18 ComRes/Mirror 15/08/10 39 33 15 YouGov/Sun 16/08/10 41 37 15 Harris/Mail 14/08/10 38 36 16 Just 1,715 day to go before the election! The first 100 days of the coalition have been marked by a couple polls that have almost gone unnoticed. Last night on the thread we picked up on a ComRes survey for the Mirror and there was the unexpected Harris poll…
BBC News Could today’s comment come back to haunt him? We all know that the middle of a leadership battle it’s vital to make comments and statements that chime with the party but could Ed Miliband come to regret saying that he wouldn’t go into coalition with Nick Clegg. Who knows what’s going to happen at the next election but even with the planned constituency changes there’s a highish probability of there being another hung parliament. And in that situation…
Is he the man who can make UKIP a force? There’s another leadership battle going on – for UKIP, the party which beat Labour for the second place slot in last year’s EU elections. Compared with the current Labour battle the likely contenders are a much more colourful bunch though, admittedly, that’s not difficult. One of the most prominent is the international anti-AGW campaigner and former aide to Mrs. Thatcher, Christopher Monckton. He became one of the party’s deputies earlier…
Is this the problem with policy-making on the hoof? Cast your minds back to Tuesday April 22nd when Adam Boulton of Sky News was moderating the second leaders’ debate in Bristol. A week earlier Nick Clegg had suddenly burst onto the scene with his first debate appearance and the polls had changed dramatically. The general view was that Cameron had performed below par and the pressure was on him to do much better. In the second debate he was clearly…
Pollster/publication Date CON LAB LD ICM Guardian 16/08/10 37 37 18 YouGov/Sun 16/08/10 41 37 15 ComRes/Independent 08/08/10 39 33 16 YouGov/Sun Times 06/08/10 42 36 13 YouGov/Sun 26/07/10 42 35 15 MORI/Reuters 25/07/10 40 38 14 ICM/Guardian 25/07/10 38 34 19 YouGov/Sun 21/07/10 44 35 13 ComRes/Independent 27/06/10 40 31 18 YouGov/Sunday Times 25/06/10 43 36 16 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 24/06/10 41 35 16 YouGov/Sun 24/06/10 43 34 17 Populus/Times 23/06/10 39 33 18 YouGov/Sun 23/06/10 42 34 17 YouGov/Sun…
Ipsos-MORI To mark the coalition’s first 100 days Ipsos-MORI has put together some current and historical polling data tracking the responses to some of the standard questions that it has been using for decades. The above chart is the one that seems the most significant – a majority continue to believe that what the coalition is doing will improve the state of the economy. Just compare it with the previous government’s record after 2001. Given the scale of cuts and…