How will the Chaytor jailing go down in Oldham?

How will the Chaytor jailing go down in Oldham?

Is the former Labour MP almost a local? So the first of the former Labour MPs to face criminal charges over the MPs expenses, David Chaytor who used to sit for Bury North, has been given an eighteen month jail sentence after pleading guilty. During the case it was said that he’d “siphon off” public money he was not entitled to by providing false documents. His defence said he was was entitled to the money and said that he showed…

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Could FPTP be too ingrained within our culture?

Could FPTP be too ingrained within our culture?

Spetember 25 2010 – the moment EdM wins the Labour leadership Is this why AV winners are not seen as being legitimate? Aside from the build-up to next Thursday’s OES by-election two things have struck me most during the first week back after the holidays – the kicking that Ed Miliband seems to be getting in the media and the reactions here on PB to the elections for our poster of the year. The common element to both is the…

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Are Labour’s hopes based on the coalition vote splitting?

Are Labour’s hopes based on the coalition vote splitting?

Saddleworth News But what if yellows/blues are seen as having the best chance? I’m coming to the view that the single most important event in the final week of this campaign will be the opinion poll, now expected at the weekend, and whether it shows the Tories or the Lib Dems as being best placed to beat Labour. For the one reason why Labour are favourites in a seat which they won with 31.9% at the general election is that…

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HenryG asks: Will OES’s female public sector workers be crucial?

HenryG asks: Will OES’s female public sector workers be crucial?

Is this the group that will destroy LD hopes? Labour has already drawn attention to the decision by the Liberal Democrats to break with tradition and move the writ for the Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election. The effect of the timing was to seemingly disenfranchise up to 1000 students not yet returning for their studies. Cunning manoeuvre? Yep. New politics? Not exactly. However it is another group of voters that should be causing the Lib Dems greater anxiety in the…

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Is a by-election crack-down on postal voting going on?

Is a by-election crack-down on postal voting going on?

Oldham E & Saddleworth postal voting Postal ballots issued Valid postal votes cast General Election May 6 2010 10,518 8,316 By-election Jan 13 2011 10,251 ???? Why are the numbers on the decline? We’ve now got the above numbers for the number of postal ballots that have been issued in the by-election which show, extraordinarily, that there’ll be fewer postal voters in next Thursday’s by-election than there were at the general election. So what you might say but the fact…

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Is Paddy Power all mouth and no trousers?

Is Paddy Power all mouth and no trousers?

“Victory for the Lib Dems in Oldham is now as unlikely as Manchester United finishing at the bottom of this year’s Premier League with Roy Keane in charge!” – Ken Robertson, Paddy Power” Fine – but how come that you are only offering 7/2 against Elwyn Watkins – the Lib Dem candidate. If it was that remote then surely you’d be happy to to lay bets at 100/1 or longer. Political punters are interested in odds – not hyperbole. It’s…

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Remember the Tory poster campaign a year ago today?

Remember the Tory poster campaign a year ago today?

Was this when it all started to go wrong for the blues? We all, I’m sure, remember this poster campaign for the blues that started exactly a year ago today. Within minutes of it appearing it was being parodied on the internet and then there was the suggestion that the image of Mr. Cameron’s face had been “air-brushed” to make him look better – something that still continues to dog the Tory leader. The approach was perhaps just too personal…

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What about some second place by-election betting?

What about some second place by-election betting?

The Abrahams (L) and Asif (R) pictures are from Saddleworth News Which of these three could finish as runner-up? With just a week to go before what has become the most intriguing by election for at least a generation this post is very much a plea to the bookies to open up some more interesting Old & Sad markets. This, as has been repeatedly argued, a three way marginal with any of the three main party candidates having a chance…

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