Big boost for NO in new ICM poll

Big boost for NO in new ICM poll

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Latest AV referendum polls Date YES % NO % Methodology note ICM/Guardian 20/02/11 37 (-7) 37 (-1) Actual wording on the ballot, phone poll, past voted weighted. With turnout filter the results was YES 51% NO 49% YouGov/Sun 18/02/11 34 (-5) 30 (-9) Bespoke wording, online, polling restricted to members of its polling panel. Politically weighted via party ID and newspaper type. Populus/Times 18/02/11 41 29 Actual wording on the ballot, phone poll, past voted weighted. Angus Reid/ 16/02/11 37…

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Does Labour need to de-toxify its brand?

Does Labour need to de-toxify its brand?

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Has the former party gen sec got this right? There’s an interesting piece on Labour-Uncut from Peter Watt, former party general secretary, about what he see as the need for Labour to “de-toxify” its brand – the phrase that came to be so associated with the blue team. He writes: “..We lost the general election because we were seen as being arrogant and out of touch. We lost because we were seen as being economically illiterate and having massively overspent….

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Is Rawnsley right – “Thickos” could save Britain from AV?

Is Rawnsley right – “Thickos” could save Britain from AV?

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AV poll (YouGov) Total % Male % Female % 18-24 % 25-39 % 40-59 % 60+ % ABC1 % C2DE % Support AV 34 40 30 39 34 34 33 37 31 Oppose AV 30 34 26 19 19 33 40 30 29 Not sure 36 26 45 42 47 33 27 33 40 Will it be the C2s, Ds and Es who are decisive? The above data is from the NO2AV YouGov poll that was published over the weekend…

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Jonathan’s Sunday Slot

Jonathan’s Sunday Slot

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How worried should the government be about Interest Rates? The era of ultra low interest rates appears to be coming to an end. Recently, analysts have claimed that rate rises are now not only possible but “inevitable”. How dangerous is this for the government? We got used to low and stable interest rates under Labour. If rates rise, it will undoubtedly come as a shock to many. But there are also increasing numbers of people who will benefit. Is the…

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Is Gaddafi going to follow Mubarak?

Is Gaddafi going to follow Mubarak?

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How dangerous is the Libyan situation for the world? By far the biggest global story today has been eruption of violence in Libya as protesters seek to do to their leader what was done to Mubarak in Egypt earlier in the month. With reports of up to 200 people being killed in what are being termed “massacres” it’s clear that the situation is highly febrile and potentially very dangerous. It appears that the reaction by the Gaddafi regime has been…

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What does Patten’s appointment say about the BBC’s future?

What does Patten’s appointment say about the BBC’s future?

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Is it a holding role or a prelude to reform? The likely appointment of former Conservative Party Chairman, Governor of Hong Kong and EU Commissioner, Chris Patten, to be the next chairman of the BBC Trust is likely to be a controversial one. It’s not the first time that the senior board member has been an active politician (the very first chairman of the board of governors had only recently been a government chief whip when appointed), but certainly renews…

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YouGov reports first lead for YES for six months

YouGov reports first lead for YES for six months

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Latest AV referendum polls Date YES % NO % Question wording YouGov/Sun No2AV 17/02/11 34 30 Bespoke wording – which might have been changed for this latest poll (see updates below) Populus/Times 18/02/11 41 29 Actual wording on the ballot Angus Reid/ 16/02/11 37 (nc) 21 (+1) Actual wording on the ballot ComRes/Indy on Sunday 10/02/11 36 (+4) 30 (nc) Actual wording on the ballot ICM/Guardian 19/12/10 44 38 Actual wording on the ballot Details of the latest YouGov poll…

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And now Roger on the Oscars – this year decided by AV

And now Roger on the Oscars – this year decided by AV

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(Every year on PB Roger gives us his Oscar predictions and betting advice. Those who who’ve followed his analysis have generally come out as winners – let’s hope it’s the same this year – MS) Where are the awards going to go? A great year for British films which I hope can withstand the philistinism of this Tory government. Stjohn asked if I could suggest value bets so where two films are close I’ll suggest he takes a punt on…

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