Scottish Election polls Date LAB % SNP % CON % LD % GRN % Constituency TNS-BMRB/STV 27/03/11 38 37 14 7 YouGov 18/03/11 41 38 10 6 ICM 14/03/11 39 35 13 10 Regional TNS-BMRB/STV 27/03/11 35 35 14 8 5 YouGov 18/03/11 39 32 11 6 5 ICM 14/03/11 37 34 13 9 4 Could the SNP hang on to power in Scotland? There’s…
When are all sides going to move on from Maggie? Ed Miliband had a difficult hand to play on Saturday. The thrust of most of the hundreds of thousands who joined the TUC protest was that all cuts were wrong and should be opposed. As Andrew Ranwsley observed in the Observer this is “..not a position the Labour leader can afford to be associated with and not the position he has taken. He tried to finesse his dilemma by addressing…
English local elections battleground May 2011 (Rallings and Thrasher LGC) CON defending LAB defending LD defending OTH defending Metropolitan boroughs: 815 seats in 36 councils 186 393 199 37 Unitary authorities: 1928 seats in total in 49 councils 909 501 380 138 District councils: 6647 seats in 194 councils 3931 726 1287 703 Total 9484 seats 5026 1620 1866 878 How will the parties do in the first test since the general? May 5th, just five and a half weeks…
Labour meets the Four Horsemen Opposition is hard. In the past month, Labour was rudely reminded of the weakness of opposition and just how difficult it will be to regain power. There are four political horseman of the apocalypse that can doom any opposition party. In March, Labour received visits from all of them. Fortunately for Labour, their visits came early, weren’t fatal and the party should learn from the experience. Who are they? Irrelevance. Opposition parties rely on the…
YouGov leadership ratings “…doing well/badly?†All % CON voters LAB voters LD voters David Cameron Well 47(+4) 96 9 69 Badly 47(-3) 3 87 28 Ed Miliband Well 32 (-2) 14 67 22 Badly 47(nc) 71 20 53 Nick Clegg Well 28(+3) 58 5 68 Badly 63(-3) 34 92 29 But Edward drops a couple of notches The first leadership ratings numbers since the budget are out from…
Will today advance the anti-cuts cause? I’m sure I’m not the only one to have been shocked by some of the images that have been coming out of London’s West End in the past few hours. The real problem all those involved face, those on the official march and those in the breakaway groups, is that polling this week underlines that the need for cuts is well understood and supported by the majority. There might be opposition to specific measures…
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Should he have stayed away? The BBC coverage of Edward’s speech to the cuts rally in Hyde Park moved first to a split screen and then blanked out completely as trouble erupted in the Oxford Street area. The vast bulk of the demonstration has been peaceful and good-natured but there was always a risk that a small minority would want to operate differently. I cannot believe that the timing of the violence was a coincidence. Mike Smithson