Will GE2024 produce a majority seats winner with a minority of votes?

Will GE2024 produce a majority seats winner with a minority of votes?

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The report notes: “In 2010, First Past the Post delivered us a coalition government, the first since 1945, under a system designed to produce single-party majorities. In 2015, First Past the Post gave us the most disproportionate election to date with a majority government secured with under 37 percent of the vote share. In 2017, despite over 80 percent of votes going to just two parties (the highest combined vote share since 1970), First Past the Post could not deliver a majority…

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Will Sunak still be PM at the general election

Will Sunak still be PM at the general election

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Every week or so it seems we get a new rumour about plots for a different CON leader to be in place at the general election. This, of course, requires that there are enough Tory MPs ready to demand a confidence vote and for that vote to go against the incumbent. I think the Smarkets betting chart has this about right with about a 16-17% chance that he won’t be there. I’ve always felt that the big problem Sunak has…

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The State of Process – The Process State

The State of Process – The Process State

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Understand procedure, understand warUnderstand rules, regulations – Forever Failure, Draconian Time album, Paradise Lost Consider a few straws in the wind – The National Trust plans to spend £250,000 on a footbridge a dozen feet long.– “..it is estimated that social workers spend between 12% and 20% of their time working directly with children and families, the remainder being spend on administrative tasks”–Prosecutions based on computer algorithm. Despite the results being self evidently insane, the prosecutions were expanded. Aside from making a…

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The long road to a united Ireland

The long road to a united Ireland

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In 1990, the show that spawned the show Picard and its better than sex season three, Star Trek: The Next Generation aired an episode called The Higher Ground which said Irish reunification took place in 2024, with yesterday’s momentous events it would be appear the writer of that episode was only a few years out. My expectation has always been Ireland would reunify in my lifetime due to demographics but Brexit has expedited that, as Boris Johnson and the Brexiteers…

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