politicalbetting.com – Page 1701 – The web's premier resource for political betting.

Would Labour get a majority on the Populus figures?

14/9/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

What will the boundaries do for Labour’s target? For various reasons I’m just catching up with today’s Times Populus poll which shows very little change on what the firm reported in July. An interesting question is whether a Labour 4 point lead would now be enough for a majority? A few weeks after the 2010 general election Professior John Curtice produded figures suggesting that the Conservatives would need a margin of 11.2% in votes over Labour to secure a majority…

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Welcome to Tory MajorityLand, Mr Cameron

14/9/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Update 2: Yes, I know there are problems with the current discussion system. But I need to get some sleep, so you’ll all have to wait until tomorrow before they’re fixed. In no particular order, the things that will be changed are: 1. No nesting of replies 2. A reintroduction of comment numbering 3. A removal of the image posting facility 4. Absolute, rather than relative, timestamps on comments 5. Some pretty-fying, so the commenters’ name is not so large…

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Sorry PB Nighthawks – there’ll be technical outages tonight

13/9/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

As my son Robert, who handles the technical side of PB, has reported there’ll be periods of outages overnight as enhancements are made to PB’s technical infrastructure. He’ll give advanced warnings and hopefully the site will return to normal tomorrow. I’ve been tied up with medical tests for most of today and haven’t been able to monitor the political or technical developments although I was a guest on Iain Dale’s LBC programme earlier in the evening. Have a good evening….

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Site Maintenance

13/9/2011 robert Comments 0 Comment

Political Betting will be off-line tonight between about 1am and 4am. Hopefully, come tomorrow morning it will all be working perfectly. Thanks, Robert

Not much change in the South-West

13/9/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

The boundary changes: The count-down begins

13/9/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

Is 2 years of uncertainty going to cause mayhem? Reproduced above is the rather chilling home-page of the public consultation part of English boundaries review. The plans have been formally published and now the count-down begins. As can be seen there are just 84 days left for interested parties to have their say – tomorrow it will be 83. My broad reading is that faced with the very tight mathematical constraints laid down in the legislation the commissioners have come…

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Tonight in the PB Nighthawks Cafe…

12/9/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

PB voted top non-aligned blog of the year The results of the annual blog election at Total Politics are now coming in and PB has been voted the number one “Non-aligned blog”. Thanks to all those who took part in the election. @MikeSmithsonPB

Is Nadine set to be one of the boundary losers?

12/9/2011 Mike Smithson Comments 0 Comment

What’s your analysis from the areas you know? We’ve now got the leaked copy of the boundary proposals for England and lots of different stories are emerging. At the moment it’s hard to give a top down analysis – we can only really comment on the areas that we ourselves know. Where I live in the big loser would appear to be the controversial mid-Bedfordshire Tory MP, Nadine Dorries, who sees her seat split into four. That’s going to make…

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