Will Newt go the same way as the other ABM contenders?

Will Newt go the same way as the other ABM contenders?

Have we been here before with Rick, Michelle & Herman? The race for the Republican party nomination for the White House has a familiar pattern to it. Mitt Romney continues to poll in the 20s and every few weeks or so one of the other hopefuls suddenly has a surge only to be thwarted in some form later. We are seeing that with restaurant chain boss, Herman Cain, at the moment. He’s seen his ratings drop after the sexual harassment…

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Is the London bus fare war going anywhere?

Is the London bus fare war going anywhere?

Can the public cope with a pile of numbers like this? The “Re-Elect Boris” campaign in London has been keen that PB features its response to Ken’s move on bus fares following Henry G Manson’s piece last week in which the Ken video was presented. The spat between the two men has yet to catch the public imagination but in the interests of balance I’m running the Boris response. The Labour candidate, it will be recalled, is making a simple…

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How much can we trust White House polls this far out?

How much can we trust White House polls this far out?

What the pollsters were saying exactly 4 years ago The chart shows the Real Clear Politics Average exactly four years ago in the race for the Republican nomination. At that stage, like in the 2012 race, we were just under seven weeks from the first proper test when real voters expressed their preference – the Iowa caucuses. As we all know it was the veteran Arizona senator, John McCain, who came out top overall. For the opening states at this…

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Could this man’s evidence bring down Theresa May?

Could this man’s evidence bring down Theresa May?

Channel 4 News Will Brodie Clark’s word or her’s be believed? This might all turn out to be a damp squib but the appearance of Brodie Clark, ex-director of border control for the UK Border Agency, before a commons committee today could have a dramatic impact on the career of the most senior woman in Cameron’s cabinet, Theresa May. For every small detail of his account of the events that led to his exit from his job last week will…

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Could UKIP make Feltham a referendum on the EU?

Could UKIP make Feltham a referendum on the EU?

General Election candidate Party Votes % +/- Alan Keen Labour 21174 43.6 -4.5 Mark Bowen Conservative 16516 34 5.2 Munira Wilson Liberal Democrat 6669 13.7 -2.9 John Donnelly BNP 1714 3.5 3.5 Jerry Shadbolt UKIP 992 2 0.5 Elizabeth Anstis Green 530 1.1 -1.2 Dharmendra Tripathi Independent 505 1 1 Asa Khaira Independent 180 0.4 0.4 Roger Williams Independent 168 0.3 0.3 Matthew Linley WRP 78 0.2 0.2 Majority   4658 9.6 Is this the way Farage’s party should campaign…

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Can we just dismiss the Mercer “incident”?

Can we just dismiss the Mercer “incident”?

How’s Dave going to deal with him? Ever since Patrick Mercer got sacked as a shadow minister four years ago it’s been no secret that the ex-army officer and former BBC journalist is no great supporter of his party leader. So if what he’s alleged to have said at a private party is true, and he denies it, it would come as little surprise. The specific alleged criticisms – calling Cameron an “arse” and “the worst PM since Gladstone” have…

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