Greece June 2012 – Election Night Special

Greece June 2012 – Election Night Special

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Wikimedia Commons Is this the most important election ever? It’s often heard from politicians seeking votes that “this is the most important election for a generation” – I have yet to hear an election being described as “not terribly important”. But today’s poll in Greece can be justifiably described as critical and potentially historic. Can a new government be formed this time, and will the country be continuing with the bailout in some form with ND/Pasok or taking a radically…

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How’s last night’s Euro 2012 victory going to impact on the Greek election?

How’s last night’s Euro 2012 victory going to impact on the Greek election?

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Will the exultation be better for Syriza or New Democracy? Today’s crucial general election in Greece takes place after a dramatic victory for the country in Euro 2012 which ensured that it has a place in the quarters finals. Fans were celebrating into the early hours and there’s little doubt that sporting success like this can affect the mood of a whole nation. Thus many Labour figures put down the party’s defeat in the 1970 election to the outcome of…

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The ComRes George Osborne poll (UPDATED)

The ComRes George Osborne poll (UPDATED)

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Should he worry about these numbers? There’s a new ComRes online poll out for tomorrow’s Indy on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror. As well as the latest voting intention figures – LAB 42+1/CON 32nc/ LD 9-2/UKIP 8+1the big focus is on George Osborne with no less than nine questions relating directly to him. These are:- Do you agree or disagree with this statement: I am satisfied with the way George Osborne is doing his job as Chancellor of the Exchequer…

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Could the Sun end up turning to UKIP at the next general election?

Could the Sun end up turning to UKIP at the next general election?

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Might its days of ‘backing the winner’ be over? One consequence of the phone hacking scandal is that there’s almost no chance of The Sun backing Labour in 2015. Ed Miliband has gone out of his way to pick a fight with the Murdochs and it’s doubtful whether he’d want the endorsement even if it were on the cards, which it surely isn’t. So if it’s The Sun wot wins it then it will back the Tories then? Well yes,…

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David Laws says the coalition won’t split before the election

David Laws says the coalition won’t split before the election

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The former Treasury Secretary, David Laws, who had to quite after only three weeks in June 2010 is predicting that the coalition will run its course to the May 2015 general election. Avvording to a BBC report of a conference speach Laws predicted that the two coalition parties will not formally “disengage” before the next election. “Instead, Conservative leader David Cameron and Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg will “juggle two balls – setting out their own visions of the future…

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How dangerous is the regional pay plan for the Tories?

How dangerous is the regional pay plan for the Tories?

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Could there be be an electoral price for the Osborne proposal ? Six months after the 2010 General Election some of the political scientists involved in the hugely successful accurate exit poll – John Curtice/Stephen Fisher/Rob Ford – produced an analysis of the election which is a must read for all who are focused on what might happen next time. One trend they identified that impeded the Tory drive to a majority was this:- “Constituencies containing a relatively large number…

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Labour maintains a 11 point lead with Opinum

Labour maintains a 11 point lead with Opinum

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It’s LAB 42+1/CON 31+1/LD 9nc/UKIP 8-2 There’s a new voting intention poll out from the online firm, Opinium which has Labour maintaining its 12% lead. The firm doesn’t get much prominence but did come up with the closest numbers in last month’s London Mayoral election beating YouGov by 2 points. Ed Miliband still has the best net approval ratings from the firm. He’s -18%, Cameron’s -24% and Clegg -46%. Essentially the picture is the same from just about all the…

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