Standby for “bombshell” poll on how the Tories would be doing with Boris as leader

Standby for “bombshell” poll on how the Tories would be doing with Boris as leader

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What would happen to the Tory vote if Boris replaced Cameron? Read the bombshell YouGov poll verdict in The Sun tomorrow. — Sun Politics (@Sun_Politics) September 11, 2012 Given the massive national attention that there was on Boris last night and the tone of the Tweet from the Sun it looks like we could be in for a dramatic poll showing how the Tories would be performing with Boris at the helm rather than Dave. I’ve been expecting such a…

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Andy Murray moves into contention for the Sports Personality of the Year election

Andy Murray moves into contention for the Sports Personality of the Year election

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If the betting is right this is now a 3 man race Following Andy Murray’s spectacular success in the US open overnight he’s moved sharply in the betting for December’s election for Sports Personality of the Year. the chart above shows the changes in the past 24 hours. Notice how Andy Murray was moving up sharply and then slipped back as the match became more of a struggle. If the Betfair markets have got this right this has become a…

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If YouGov asked these questions about Boris you can bet that he’d beat Dave, Ed and Nick

If YouGov asked these questions about Boris you can bet that he’d beat Dave, Ed and Nick

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We are being even more disillusioned with all three leaders About twice a month YouGov asks its polling panel to rate the three main party leaders on a range of points and a new set is out this morning. The striking feature is that almost all the movement is downwards and in several cases we are seeing new lows. T The first column in the tables below relates to the mid-August positions. David Cameron Ed Miliband Nick Clegg For me…

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Ed Miliband could be the only party leader left standing

Ed Miliband could be the only party leader left standing

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Both coalition partners might have new leaders With all the talk of a Vince Cable leadership of the Lib Dems and the rumblings within the Tory party could it be that by the general election is the only one of the three main party leaders still to be in post? It’s not that far-fetched because, unlike Labour, both the blues and the yellows have shown themselves to be ruthless with leaders they fear are electoral liabilities. The pressure, of course,…

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C4’s Gary Gibbon says the Tory plots against Cameron continue

C4’s Gary Gibbon says the Tory plots against Cameron continue

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Should you be betting that Dave will be ousted? The Channel 4 political commentator. Gary Gibbon, has returned to the subject of plots against Cameron following the denial by Tory MP, Bob Stewart, that he was considering acting as a stalking horse. He writes:- “…. the grouping I am talking about is quite a bit bigger than two people. It has met a handful of times in the office of a Tory former minister and privy councillor. I believe it’s…

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Mitt Romney slips further in the betting after disappointing post-conventions polling

Mitt Romney slips further in the betting after disappointing post-conventions polling

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On Betfair he’s 32.2% chance down 5 since his Tampa speech It is always said that there are three critical points when a challenger in a presidential race can change the narrative and his prospects. The first comes, usually in the August, with the choice of the V-P nominee. The second comes with the party national conventions and thirdly there are the debates. We’ve now completed two of those and Mitt Romney is still waiting for his breakthrough in both…

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Some difficult polling numbers for Cameron after the big re-shuffle

Some difficult polling numbers for Cameron after the big re-shuffle

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A round-up of points from the Sunday Times YouGov survey Labour lead at 10 in latest YouGov CON 33%, LAB 43%, LD 10%, UKIP 7%; — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 9, 2012 EdM ahead of Dave in today’s YouGov leader ratings.He’s net minus 22% to Dave’s minus 28%. Clegg moves to -58% which is a new low — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 9, 2012 By 45% to 41% the YouGov panel think that Cameron is dislikeable.51% to 33% said he…

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