#Eastleigh – How punters are seeing the by-election based on actual bets matched

#Eastleigh – How punters are seeing the by-election based on actual bets matched

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Lib Dem 55.3%: CON 37.4%: LAB 5.8%: Ukip 2.8% Betfair #Eastleigh price trend based on actual bets matched. Lib Dems now 55.3% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2013 Betfair #Eastleigh price trend Tories based on acual bets matched. Latest 37.4% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2013 Betfair #Eastleigh price trend LABOURbased on acual bets matched. Latest 5.8% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 15, 2013 Ukip #Betfair #Eastleigh price trend based on actual bets matched. Latest…

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The PB Thursday night local elections special

The PB Thursday night local elections special

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Harry Hayfield previews the contests   Gainsborough East on West Lindsey (Lib Dem defence) Last Council Election (2011): Con 21, Lib Dem 11, Ind 3, Lab 2 (Conservative majority of 5) Last Election Result (2011): Lib Dem 1,532 (57%) Con 745 (28%) Lab 422 (16%)   West Lindsey is in the heart of the Lincolnshire Wolds and as such you would expect it to be a Conservative bastion (indeed the parliamentary constituency of Gainsborough is one of the safest Conservative…

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Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for February

Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for February

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Ipsos-Mori have published their political monitor for February. The Voting Intention Conservatives 30 (n/c) Labour 42 (-1) Liberal Democrats 7 (-1) UKIP 9 (n/c) The changes are from last month. Labour will be delighted to maintain a double digit lead with Mori. For the Liberal Democrats, they have fallen to their lowest poll rating with Mori since April 1990. What this means for the Eastleigh by-election, in one respect, polling like this may help Nick Clegg and his party, if…

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Corporeal on David Cameron and the NHS

Corporeal on David Cameron and the NHS

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The Three letters of David Cameron When David Cameron won the Conservative party leadership contest he said he could state his priorities in three letters: NHS. More than any other issue, from the Big Society to hugging huskies in hoodies, he’s tried to connect himself to the state of healthcare in this country. While prescribing declaring cuts had to take place in almost every other department he declared he would protect the NHS by ring-fencing its budget. It is a…

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Is this further proof of why UKIP are not capable of winning Parliamentary seats

Is this further proof of why UKIP are not capable of winning Parliamentary seats

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According to the Telegraph, UKIP has sent out the above leaflet. Saying Eastleigh deserves better. It certainly does. The leaflets have been put through doors in Colden Common, which is not part of the Eastleigh constituency. Given the gimmicks UKIP have used in the past, it isn’t surprising they finished third in a two-horse race in Buckingham. What makes this mistake in Eastleigh even more alarming for UKIP was that Mike Smithson was told last week. #Eastleigh, I’m told, is…

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PB Nighthawks is open

PB Nighthawks is open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events. If you’ve always been a lurker, and you Wannabe be a poster on PB, then this thread is for you, Spice Up Your Life by posting on PB, Stop being a lurker. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Ed Miliband, the new Ronald Reagan? Ed Miliband, the new Bill Clinton?…

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The Scottish Leadership ratings change, year on year and the future.

The Scottish Leadership ratings change, year on year and the future.

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    Leader Net Rating Jan 12 Net Rating Feb 13 Change Alex Salmond Plus 22 Plus 7 Minus 15 Ruth Davidson Minus 12 Minus 4 Plus 8 Johann Lamont Minus 6 Plus 8 Plus 14 Willie Rennie Minus 12 Minus 7 Plus 5 David Cameron Minus 28 Minus 40 Minus 12   The above table shows the net leadership ratings from Ipsos-Mori Scotland polling series in the last year, and the change therein. As we can see there has…

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The latest Ipsos-Mori polling on Scottish Independence

The latest Ipsos-Mori polling on Scottish Independence

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The Nationalists Strike Back Ipsos-Mori have polled for the Times on Scottish Independence, the changes are from their last poll in October. The poll, which asked the same question as the one now certain to be on the referendum ballot paper next year — Should Scotland be an independent country? Yes 34% (+4) No 55% (-3) Undecided 11% (-1) What appears to be behind the increase the support in Independence is according to the Times’ article is an extraordinary surge…

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