Is this further proof of why UKIP are not capable of winning Parliamentary seats

Is this further proof of why UKIP are not capable of winning Parliamentary seats

Comments 0 Comment

According to the Telegraph, UKIP has sent out the above leaflet. Saying Eastleigh deserves better. It certainly does. The leaflets have been put through doors in Colden Common, which is not part of the Eastleigh constituency. Given the gimmicks UKIP have used in the past, it isn’t surprising they finished third in a two-horse race in Buckingham. What makes this mistake in Eastleigh even more alarming for UKIP was that Mike Smithson was told last week. #Eastleigh, I’m told, is…

Read More Read More

PB Nighthawks is open

PB Nighthawks is open

Comments 0 Comment

Home of the web’s best political conversation Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events. If you’ve always been a lurker, and you Wannabe be a poster on PB, then this thread is for you, Spice Up Your Life by posting on PB, Stop being a lurker. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Ed Miliband, the new Ronald Reagan? Ed Miliband, the new Bill Clinton?…

Read More Read More

The Scottish Leadership ratings change, year on year and the future.

The Scottish Leadership ratings change, year on year and the future.

Comments 0 Comment

    Leader Net Rating Jan 12 Net Rating Feb 13 Change Alex Salmond Plus 22 Plus 7 Minus 15 Ruth Davidson Minus 12 Minus 4 Plus 8 Johann Lamont Minus 6 Plus 8 Plus 14 Willie Rennie Minus 12 Minus 7 Plus 5 David Cameron Minus 28 Minus 40 Minus 12   The above table shows the net leadership ratings from Ipsos-Mori Scotland polling series in the last year, and the change therein. As we can see there has…

Read More Read More

The latest Ipsos-Mori polling on Scottish Independence

The latest Ipsos-Mori polling on Scottish Independence

Comments 0 Comment

The Nationalists Strike Back Ipsos-Mori have polled for the Times on Scottish Independence, the changes are from their last poll in October. The poll, which asked the same question as the one now certain to be on the referendum ballot paper next year — Should Scotland be an independent country? Yes 34% (+4) No 55% (-3) Undecided 11% (-1) What appears to be behind the increase the support in Independence is according to the Times’ article is an extraordinary surge…

Read More Read More

So what is this going to do to the Eastleigh by election outcome

So what is this going to do to the Eastleigh by election outcome

Comments 0 Comment

  Last night Labour selected John O’Farrell as their candidate for the Eastleigh by-election, this predictably attracted a lot of comment, and some movement in the betting. Such as the below tweet by the Political Editor of the Sun. By selecting John O’Farrell, have Labour made #Eastleigh a Tory win? He’ll take 1,000+ votes off the Libs. Tories delighted. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) February 13, 2013 My first instinct was to back Labour on Ladbrokes’ match vote bet with UKIP, and…

Read More Read More

PB Nighthawks is now open

PB Nighthawks is now open

Comments 0 Comment

Home of the web’s best political conversation Relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events. If you’ve always been a lurker, I hope you can, Find the Time, to post on pb, I’m sure you’ll, Shine, as a contributor on PB. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant story) Labour select John O’Farrell as their candidate for Eastleigh. Occasional PB contributor, Hopi Sen, reviews the recent polling….

Read More Read More

The Number of Papal Ballots

The Number of Papal Ballots

Comments 0 Comment

I know how much PBers like talking about electoral voting systems and processes. Fortunately Ladbrokes and Paddy Power have put up betting markets on how many ballots it will take to elect a new Pope, to compliment their who will be next Pope Markets. In the most recent elections, when Pope Benedict was elected, it took four ballots, his predecessor John-Paul II was elected after eight ballots, whilst his predecessor John-Paul I was elected after four ballots. From the reports I’ve read,…

Read More Read More

Corporeal on Country versus Family YouGov Issues Indexes

Corporeal on Country versus Family YouGov Issues Indexes

Comments 0 Comment

A lot of factors go into a voter’s decision of which party (or none) will receive the little mark on the ballot paper next to their name; issues, party image (present and past), local situation are all in the mix somewhere alongside other factors, arguing about the exact recipe keeps professional political scientists (and amateur psephological nerds) in comfortable arguments. For some time now YouGov have been running two types of regular issues polling, one asking which party they support…

Read More Read More