Cameron loses the Syria Vote

Cameron loses the Syria Vote

Now that Dave has lost the vote on Syria Cameron loses Syria war vote; 272 v 285. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) August 29, 2013   Perhaps it is time to review these markets, this is not good for Dave, his authority has diminished somewhat. I suspect there is no chance of UK participation in any military intervention in Syria now.   Ladbrokes, year of the election, 2013, 25/1 and Dave to leave as PM in 2016 with Ladbrokes at…

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Winderemere, Bowness North By-Election Preview: August 29th 2013

Winderemere, Bowness North By-Election Preview: August 29th 2013

  Windermere, Bowness North on South Lakeland (Lib Dem Defence) Last Local Election (2012): Lib Dem 34, Con 13, Lab 4 (Liberal Democrat majority of 17) Result of last election in ward (2011): Lib Dem 608 (65%), Con 280 (30%), Lab 47 (5%) It is very rare to have just a single by-election on one day and this ward in South Lakeland (which covers the Lake District) is one of only three councils in Cumbria that hold elections every year…

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Syria – How it will impact domestic politics

Syria – How it will impact domestic politics

There was some polling released overnight by YouGov for The Times YouGov/The Times poll finds support for firing UK missiles against Syria fell to 22%, from 25% on Tues opposition grew from 50 to 51% — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 28, 2013   YouGov finds 63% launching missiles at Syria will make things worse than better. 15% Disagree — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013   Despite overwhelming opposition to missile strikes in Syria, David Cameron’s personal ratings can give him some…

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Betting on when will a Conservative lead with YouGov occur

Betting on when will a Conservative lead with YouGov occur

Paddy Power have opened a market on when we’ll see a Conservative lead with YouGov. Paddy Power's odds on when The Tories will take the lead with a YouGov VI poll pic.twitter.com/IczxkcApyT — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 29, 2013 Overnight the latest yougov poll was published, it shows the Labour lead at 3% YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Syria dramatics aside, the Labour lead is down to 3 points again. CON 34%, LAB 37%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn)…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

Home of the web’s best political conversation If you’re experiencing Insomnia, why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, why not delurk tonight, it certainly is an interesting time in UK politics, with Syria’s use of weapons of, Mass Destruction, The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) Labour Kills Commons Vote On Military Action In Syria As…

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Syria

Syria

The above is the findings from the YouGov poll for the Sunday Times. YouGov noted on Sunday that The most recent survey supports findings in a YouGov survey from April, which suggested the use of chemical weapons in Syria would make little if any difference at all to the British public’s disinclination towards greater involvement.  Overnight there was further YouGov polling released on the reported plans for Syria and it makes for grim reading for David Cameron. Voters are against missile strikes…

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Ipsos-MORI party like-dislike ratings for UKIP raise doubts about the party’s future progress

Ipsos-MORI party like-dislike ratings for UKIP raise doubts about the party’s future progress

How come that Farage’s party is now so disliked? One of the big problems with polling is that what tends to get reported is what fits the media narrative and other numbers can get ignored. Thus the big news from latest Ipsos-MORI “like/dislike” party and leader ratings was the big fall in Ed Miliband’s personal position which, of course, has been the big political story this summer. This has overshadowed other numbers from the firm about UKIP that might be…

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