Meet Ed Kinnock

Meet Ed Kinnock

Comments 0 Comment

Meet Ed Kinnock/Neil Miliband. Why have the Tories mocked this up? Find out in tomorrow's Sun #SunPlus. pic.twitter.com/SSJkrPljKD — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) August 26, 2013 According to the press, today we’re going to see the start of a new phase of the Tory campaign targeting Ed Miliband as weak by comparing him unfavourably with Neil Kinnock. Today, Michael Gove will say “The contrast with Neil Kinnock – who originally faced down the Militant Tendency over entryism is striking –…

Read More Read More

PB Poll on when we’ll see Tory leads in the polls

PB Poll on when we’ll see Tory leads in the polls

Comments 0 Comment

Following the publication of the ICM Wisdom poll, ICM’s Martin Boon said about Ed’s poor personal polling, “He is becoming Labour’s IDS and if it carries on like this it’s hard not to think that we’ll be seeing Conservative polling leads very soon.” Take part in PB’s poll and tell us what you think. When will we start seeing Tory polling leads Before 31/12/13 Between 01/01/2014 and 30/06/2014 Between 01/07/2014 and 31/12/2014 Between 01/01/2015 and 07/05/2015 We won’t see Tory…

Read More Read More

Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?

Cameron and Clegg The New Blair and Brown?

Comments 0 Comment

Yesterday John Rentoul wrote a fascinating piece on the Dave and Nick relationship.   I am told that [David Cameron] has recently had a lot of “quite angry” meetings with Nick Clegg. Where once civil servants liked to compare the polite and mutually respectful dealings of the coalition leaders with the storms of Tony Blair and Gordon Brown’s dysfunctional “coalition”, insiders now say that there are similarities after all. I understand that one of Cameron and Clegg’s disputes was over…

Read More Read More

Angus Reid poll on Scotland

Angus Reid poll on Scotland

Comments 0 Comment

There’s a new poll out by Angus Reid for the Sunday Express on the Scottish Independence referendum, which sees an improvement for the Yes side   Note, the changes are from Angus Reid’s last poll on this topic, which was for The Mail on Sunday, the Sunday Express articles references the last poll conducted for the Sunday Express. The Mail on Sunday Poll details can be found here Other excerpts from the poll 28 per cent of people say they…

Read More Read More

Sunday Polling Roundup

Sunday Polling Roundup

Comments 0 Comment

There are three polls out. First up is the YouGov poll for the Sunday Times Tonight’s YouGov for the Sunday Times Lab 38 Con 32 UKIP 13 LD 10 — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 24, 2013   YouGov/Sunday Times Miliband’s net rating is minus 48, his worst net rating this year (last week it minus 42) — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 24, 2013   YouGov Sunday Times net ratings among their own supporters Cameron plus 87 Clegg plus 36 Miliband plus 7…

Read More Read More

Independence Referendum turnout betting

Independence Referendum turnout betting

Comments 0 Comment

With a little over 389 days to go until Scottish voters decide whether to leave the Union or not. The table below shows the turnout in Scotland for a variety of elections and plebiscites, going back to 1974. Year Westminster election Referendum Holyrood election 1974 F 79.0 1974 O 74.8 1979 March 63.8 1979 May 76.8 1983 72.7 1987 75.1 1992 75.5 1997 May 71.3 1997 Sep 60.4 1999 59.1 2001 58.2 2003 49.4 2005 60.6 2007 52.1 2010 63.8…

Read More Read More

Is Harriet Harman Labour’s Michael Howard option?

Is Harriet Harman Labour’s Michael Howard option?

Comments 0 Comment

  Would stability be the prime concern if Miliband went? Ed Miliband has now been leader of the Labour Party for longer than Gordon Brown was.  For the majority of that time, Labour has been comfortably ahead in the opinion polls and has made steady progress in local council seats and Westminster by-elections.  Even so, doubts continue to be expressed about his leadership.  Labour has not shown much ability to set a policy or media narrative since he became leader and…

Read More Read More

Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

Comments 0 Comment

New PB thread looking at betting on Lib Dem deposit losses at the 2015 GE. http://t.co/FR0XvQI0M3 pic.twitter.com/EEpQPAakBj — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) August 23, 2013   A couple of weeks ago, Mike wrote about the potential number of Lib Dem lost deposits in 2015 and how the total of lost LD deposits which, if local trends continue, could run into the hundreds. Now in 2010, the Liberal Democrats didn’t lose any deposits, whilst the the Conservatives lost just two deposits and Labour lost five…

Read More Read More