In March Henry G Manson tipped Sadiq Khan for London Mayor when he was 33-1

In March Henry G Manson tipped Sadiq Khan for London Mayor when he was 33-1

Comments 0 Comment

Today Khan hinted that he could stand Back in March Henry G Manson wrote this on PB:- “What puts Sadiq Khan in such a great place for this contest is that Ed Miliband also made him Shadow Minister for London two months ago. This remit will enable him to meet, speak, campaign, engage with the whole London electoral college for this selection ahead of elections in 2014 and the general election a year later. The unions played a large role…

Read More Read More

Labour’s union plans are about culture as much as cash

Labour’s union plans are about culture as much as cash

Comments 0 Comment

Henry G Manson’s Friday column Lord Collins’ interim proposals for Labour’s relationship with its affiliated unions were published yesterday. They don’t settle the issue of union funding and affiliation to Labour. In fact it provides more questions than answers. But while much of the attention has previously been on the pounds, shilling and pence that would be lost, it’s clear that these plans are about so much more than that. Together the proposals demand an organisational and cultural shift from…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Preview: September 19th 2013

Local By-Election Preview: September 19th 2013

Comments 0 Comment

North Ward on Oxford (Lib Dem Defence) Last Local Election (2012): Lab 29, Lib Dem 13, Green 5, Ind 1 (Lab overall majority of 10) Last election in ward: 2010: Lib Dem 1,303 (45%), Con 715 (24%), Lab 489 (17%), Green 413 (14%) Candidates duly nominated: Time Bearder (Lib Dem), Sushila Dhall (Green), Louise Upton (Lab), John Walsh (Con) Oxford has been a bit of a disappointment for the Liberal Democrats over recent years, but this wasn’t always the case….

Read More Read More

The LDs might have left Glasgow in upbeat mood but their GE2015 prospects are dependent on UKIP continuing to prosper

The LDs might have left Glasgow in upbeat mood but their GE2015 prospects are dependent on UKIP continuing to prosper

Comments 0 Comment

The big question mark over the Ashcroft polling Most delegates at this week’s Liberal Democrat conference left Glasgow in a confident mood helped by the polling of marginal constituencies funded by ex-Tory treasurer Lord Ashcroft and published on Sunday. This gave the party the glimmer of hope. For in spite of their ongoing poor national polling and their leader’s dreadful ratings it appeared that they weren’t going to be annihilated on May 7th 2015 as many have predicted. What was…

Read More Read More

As Labour prepares for its conference today’s YouGov reports that the party’s lead has been wiped out

As Labour prepares for its conference today’s YouGov reports that the party’s lead has been wiped out

Comments 0 Comment

For the second time in two months a major pollster reports that LAB and CON are level-pegging on 36% pic.twitter.com/e0p2mzUYcj — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 19, 2013 Some numbers to dampen LAB spirits Whenever you get a poll that is out of the ordinary you have to treat the findings with some scepticism and today’s YouGov poll for the Sun is no exception. In July ICM also had both LAB and CON on 36% a that wasn’t supported by other…

Read More Read More

Scottish Independence Referendum: One Year To Go

Scottish Independence Referendum: One Year To Go

Comments 0 Comment

#Indyref Polling round up. New politicalbetting thread http://t.co/54IIN5PSh0 pic.twitter.com/URj333GChe — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) September 18, 2013 In the past few days, to coincide with today being exactly one year away from the Scottish Independence referendum, there’s been a plethora of polling on the topic. ICM for the Scotland on Sunday. This was an online poll, which gave Yes 32%, No 49%, Don’t Knows 19%. Panelbase for The Sunday Times Yes 37 (nc) No 47 (+1), Don’t Know 16 (-1). The changes are from…

Read More Read More

UKIP 2015 could be like Cleggasm 2010 – putting on votes where it doesn’t matter

UKIP 2015 could be like Cleggasm 2010 – putting on votes where it doesn’t matter

Comments 0 Comment

If this is right it is good news for the blues The above chart seeks to graphically represent data in Denis Kavanagh’s and Philip Cowley’s The British General Election of 2010 showing the mean vote changes of the main parties in different categories of seats based on which came first and second in 2005. In doing it gives an interesting picture of what happened with, perhaps, some pointers to next time. The Labour vote showed the largest range with, interestingly,…

Read More Read More