Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. Nighthawks gives me the opportunity to say Let Me Entertain you with my round up of links. To you lurkers, if you D:Rream of delurking, why not delurk tonight? Things Can Only Get Better for you when you delurk. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link)…
Double the %age of LAB voters will help LDs as UKIP ones the Tories Last week’s Survation Thanet South polling last week highlighted the reluctance of UKIP voters to switch to the Tories in order to stop EdM being PM. Given that the extent that UKIP switchers are ready to vote blue looks set to be a key determinant at GE2015 I’ve been looking for other data on the issue. Spetember’s massive 12,800 sample phone poll of marginals produced by…
I thought it might be useful how Ed and Dave compare to their predecessors as Leader of the Opposition and Prime Minister, eighteen months prior to a General Election. First onto the Leader of the Opposition net ratings with Ipsos-Mori, eighteen months before the General Election. A few caveats about this data. I’ve included Iain Duncan Smith’s final rating, before he was removed as Tory Leader, Michael Howard’s rating, is his first rating as Leader of the Opposition. Overall, it is…
On Wednesday Boris Johnson delivered the Margaret Thatcher lecture at the Centre for Policy Studies. You can read the full speech here. I must declare an interest, speaking as a Tory, I loved the speech, in my opinion, this is the sort of speech more Tories need to make. Unsurprisingly It has lead to pieces like Boris Johnson’s philosophy isn’t just elitist – it’s sinister and  Boris Johnon is Still a ‘Nasty Piece of Work’? even George Osborne distanced himself from parts of…
UKIP have their highest score since 11th June with YouGov Con 30 (-3) Lab 38 (-2) LD 10 (+1) UKIP 15 (+4) Changes since last week — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) December 1, 2013 And UKIP hit their highest score with Opinium since Mid July Con 28 (nc) Lab 35 (-2) LD 8 (-1) UKIP 19 (+3) — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) December 1, 2013 There were a couple of polls out last night, both seeing UKIP score figures they haven’t hit since the…
With  less than 18 months to go until the general election, it is worth reviewing that markets that both William Hill and Ladbrokes have on Which party will receive the most votes in the next UK General Election? The Lib Dems or UKIP. The below table shows the vote shares for the Lib Dems and UKIP in the most recent polls by the various pollsters. Pollster Lib Dem % UKIP % Populus (online) 12 7 YouGov (online) 8 14 ComRes (phone)…
The SNP are making the same mistakes as Yes2AV One simple and obvious truth: in order to win a referendum, you need to win the support of more than half the people casting a vote. This may be elementary politics it was something that the proponents of AV nonetheless failed to grasp, or at least, failed to act on (somewhat ironically, given the nature of their cause). A second truth about referendums: those opposed to a proposition don’t have to…
The Ipsos-Mori issues index for November is out, the field work ended on the 10th of November. Ipsos-Mori Issues Index for Nov is out New PB Thread http://t.co/uJnRxdRYii pic.twitter.com/ovrJF46TKs — TSEofPB (@TSEofPB) November 29, 2013 General concern about the economy continues to fall as concern shifts to poverty/inequality and the personal economy. Highest level of concern about low pay and poverty/inequality Ipsos MORI have ever recorded. Immigration is in second place, as it has been for the last five months, is race…