Bar Hill on Cambridgeshire (Con Defence) Lynda Harford (Con) 787 (46% +1%) Martin Hale (UKIP) 251 (15% -7%) Fiona Whelan (Lib Dem) 238 (14% +6%) Alex Smith (Lab) 235 (14% unchanged) Claudia Roland (Green) 200 (12% +3%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 536 (31%) on a swing of 4% from UKIP to Con Oswestry East on Shropshire (Con Defence) John Price (Con) 629 (47% +3%) Claire Norris (Lab) 247 (19% -4%) Duncan Kerr (Green) 231 (17% no candidate in…
Tonight's ComRes ITV News poll of 40 key marginal represents CON to LAB swing of 4.5% pic.twitter.com/98KhgExcMP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 13, 2015 New ComRes poll of 40 most marg Lab/Con seats: Con 31% (NC), Lab 40% (+1), LD 8% (+1), UKIP 15% (-3), Green 5% (+1). In 2010, Con/Lab on 37% — Stephen Tall (@stephentall) February 13, 2015 Just 12% tell ComRes ITV marginals poll that the key factor in voting choice is which party leader will make…
Latest betting Goodish polling news for LAB not affecting the betting. Seat spreads from @SportingIndexhttp://bit.ly/1DHtmVS pic.twitter.com/1WJc51glb3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 13, 2015 Latest Betfair exchange prices have LAB seats a 43% chance. Value bet given polls. pic.twitter.com/ePz5UMaqWR — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 13, 2015 Latest polls Populus online has LAB 34 CON 31 LD 9 UKIP 14 GRN 6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 13, 2015 LAB After yesterday's YouGov with a 1% lead tonight's has CON 31 LAB 34 LD 7 UKIP 15 GRN 7 — Mike…
Will the same be repeated this May? With so many polls coming out as we get closer to the big day I thought it might be useful to check back at the regular pollsters from the last election to see how their surveys from the second half of February compared with the actual result. The YouGov daily poll started at this time and for that I have taken and average. I have only included the established pollsters from then which…
Bar Hill on Cambridgeshire (Con Defence) Result of council at last election (2013): Conservatives 32, Liberal Democrats 14, United Kingdom Independence Party 12, Labour 7, Independents 4 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): Conservatives 1,175 (45%), United Kingdom Independence Party 570 (22%), Labour 352 (14%), Green 242 (9%), Liberal Democrat 219 (8%), Monster Raving Loony 28 (1%) Candidates duly nominated: Martin Hale (UKIP), Lynda Harford (Con), Claudia Roland (Green), Alex Smith (Lab),…
http://t.co/O5nX7RL9vb's Marf gives her take on tax planning. pic.twitter.com/KsiS1JJecK — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 12, 2015 If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here.
LAB @IpsosMORI lead 3% amongst all those giving voting intention. See chart pic.twitter.com/2AGeX5l9sz — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 12, 2015 Feb @IpsosMORI poll Farage biggest loser on month in the satisfaction ratings pic.twitter.com/bnsz3oMq8e — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 12, 2015 LAB 36% share with @IpsosMORI is the highest the party has seen since April last year. In both Nov & Dec 2014 the firm had CON 3% ahead — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 12, 2015 Unlike other pollsters @IpsosMORI headline…
No overall majority on the Betfair exchange moves to its tightest yet overnight rating at about an 81% pic.twitter.com/ja1zMp8hX1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 12, 2015 The Ipsos-MORI poll, for the Evening Standard, usually comes out between 1200 and 1400. As to the betting moves it is very hard to argue against. The pathways to both Tory and Labour overall majorities look very difficult based on what we know at the moment. But remember what Harold Macmillan used to describe…