No overall majority on the Betfair exchange moves to its tightest yet overnight rating at about an 81% pic.twitter.com/ja1zMp8hX1
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 12, 2015
The Ipsos-MORI poll, for the Evening Standard, usually comes out between 1200 and 1400.
As to the betting moves it is very hard to argue against. The pathways to both Tory and Labour overall majorities look very difficult based on what we know at the moment. But remember what Harold Macmillan used to describe as “Events dear boy”. Anything can happen.
We’ve seen how Scotland has totally knocked Labour off track and just look how the Tories good start to the year is suddenly threatened by HSBC and the tax avoidance/evasion issues. That Cameron made a top HSBC man a minister and a peer gives it an extra potency.
Let’s see how much of a “corker” the Ipsos-MORI survey actually is.