ICM phone polled in the 20 most marginal Labour target seats  (19 Tory and 1 Lib Dem) on behalf of The Sun on Sunday. This found Labour up 4% since May to 42% and the Tories unchanged on 39%. This represents a Con to Lab swing of 2.1%. This would deprive the Tories of their majority. Though on this swing Labour would only take seventeen target seats at the election, 77 fewer than what they need to have a majority. The fieldwork…
Sunday Telegraph story. Corbyn might be Under Pressure following slur at The Queen. http://t.co/xR2PuPrqcs pic.twitter.com/7TkjVmXVX1 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 19, 2015 The story above in the Sunday Telegraph follows on from Corbyn’s failure to sing the national anthem at the Battle of Britain 75th anniversary memorial earlier on this week could present further problems for Mr Corbyn. Why this story might carry some potency is that Kevan Jones, one of Corbyn’s own shadow ministers has gone on the record so it…
ComRes online poll Con 42% (+2) Lab 30% (+1) LD 7% (-1) UKIP 13% (nc) Green 3% (-1) SNP 5% (nc). Changes since August — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 19, 2015 ComRes finds Corbyn with near identical ratings as Osborne and better than Clegg pic.twitter.com/DeVX3qTD12 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 19, 2015 After the poor first week Corbyn has endured, he and Labour will be delighted with the headline voting intention that sees Labour up 1% and not down though the Tories…
How will the granddaddy of the polling industry rate Labour’s new leader? We’ve had a few sets of numbers already on Corbyn but none from the long-established posters using their tried and tested questioning. Ipsos MORI, and in its earlier incarnation just MORI, has been surveying leader ratings since the mid-1970 and one question whether the sample are “satisfied or dissatisfied” has been asked in the same manner for nearly four decades. The result is that it has a vast…
As far as Dave need worry, it’s still Europe that matters most For all the difficulties that have beset Jeremy Corbyn in his first week in charge, when it comes to parliamentary votes, it’s the PM rather than the Leader of the Opposition who should worry. Yes, a more effective whipping operation on the tax credit vote last week would have reduced rather than doubled the government majority but the government would still have won – and a government win…
Noel Park (Lab defence) and Woodside (Lab defence) on Haringey Noel Park Result: Labour 1,005 (61% +6%), Liberal Democrats 247 (15% +1%), Conservatives 178 (11% +5%), Green Party 124 (8% -7%), United Kingdom Independence Party 48 (3% -3%), Trade Unionist and Socialist 38 (2%, no candidate in 2014) Labour HOLD with a majority of 758 (46%) on a swing of 2.5% from Liberal Democrat to Labour Woodside Result: Labour 1,279 (62% +5%), Liberal Democrats 435 (21% +9%), Conservatives 141 (7%…
John McDonnell and his leader are dumping negatives so they can concentrate on what really matters to them – austerity. Wouldn’t it be lovely if we had a proper national anthem – one that celebrated the country and its people rather than the creepy dirge that got Jeremy Corbyn into trouble at the Battle of Britain memorial service. There’s a case for boycotting God Save the Queen on aesthetic grounds. Compared to the Star Spangled Banner and La Marseillaise –…
Exactly one year after Scotland voted to remain in the United Kingdom it might now be better for Labour if Scotland left. One of the key elements in my opinion that helped the Tories win a majority in May rather than just being the largest party in a hung parliament was their ruthless approach when it came to Ed Miliband and the likelihood of the SNP propping up a Labour led coalition. As the above poster shows, the Tories managed…