New YouGov poll shows support for the UK becoming a republic increasing
The polling is utterly grim for Queen Elizabeth ii’s favourite child. TSE Site notice – I am currently on holiday
Am I a f*cking idiot?
Is assuming the 2028 White House race be a free and fair election the sign of being a fucking idiot? A few weeks ago I met up with somebody whose views on political analysis and betting I utterly respect and whose predictions have a very high rate of being accurate. As our discussion turned to events over the pond I laid out my betting strategy for the 2028 White House race to which led to my companion calling me ‘a…
Fewer than half of Brits support retaining the monarchy
The long term future of the monarchy is in doubt thanks to the young and Green voters. TSE I am currently on holiday until the weekend.
Soon we could see the Greens second in the polls to Reform
Only the very excitable or those that don’t understand polls would get excited by a single poll but if we start seeing consistent polls with one of the Lib Dems or Greens in second place and the Tories and Labour consistently polling fourth and fifth then it might be further proof that the century long duopoly is over. TSE
An interesting stat about Reform councillors
TSE
My 100/1 tip to be our next Prime Minister
We should be talking about David Lammy as our next PM. As Deputy PM he might be the best placed candidate if Sir Keir Starmer falls under the proverbial bus. Lammy showed his lawyery brilliance in the clip above and much like my 100/1 tip on Ed Miliband to succeed Starmer, this feels like an excellent trading bet, especially when you consider the likes of Zack Polanski, Zia Yusuf, and Rupert Lowe are considered having better chances of becoming our…
If you ever wanted to see what a push poll looks like
TSE
Crime & Constraints
When I was about eleven years old, my father bought a very in-vogue business book: The Goal. Being precocious, I read it. And then, about twenty years later I reread it. And then about ten years after that, I read it a third time. The story is a simple one: a man is a factory manager, and things are going badly, and they’re going badly because the factory isn’t efficient, and all the things he thinks increase efficiency decrease it….