YouGov daily poll (The Sun) Mar 22 Mar 19 CONSERVATIVES 36% 38% LABOUR 32% 31% LIB DEMS 20% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3.5% 5% More jitters for the blue team Tonight’s daily poll for the Sun, where the fieldwork finished at 5pm, reports a narrowing of the lead from 7% on Sunday to just 4% this evening. This is all getting very tight as we move into the final pre-campaign stage. For YouGov follows ICM and Optimum…
What does it tell us about her and Dave? Today’s main political stories on the front pages are features above – but the one I guess the one that will get the most attention is a series of pictures of Samantha Cameron in the Mail on Sunday. You can see it being trailed heavily on the MoS’s front page alongside the “cash for influence” report. Inside we read of how the photo-shoot came to happen a couple of years after…
Doesn’t the uniform make him look better than he is? Launched this morning is the latest Tory poster which seeks to link Brown with UNITE with the BA strike. Politically it’s clearly the right thing to do – but has the party made a cock-up in the way it’s executed. To my mind the cap and the uniform and the UNITE logo appear pretty smart and really make Brown look quite good. The idea of Brown as “captain of the…
Gallup polls 1970 CON LAB LIB January 48% 41% 7% February 48% 41% 9% March 46% 41% 9% April 47% 42% 7% May 42% 49% 7% June 42% 49% 7% Election: June 18th 46.2% 43.8% 7.6% Can the blues take comfort from Heath’s 1970 victory? Just look at the table showing the Gallup polls in 1970 in the six months ahead of the general election. Look in particular at how Heath’s Conservatives were well ahead until the May-June period when…
CON 29% (21.4) LAB 37% (42.7) LD 12% (18.4) PC 14% (12.6) But the Tories are down on January A new YouGov poll of Welsh Westminster voting intentions points to a 6.6% swing to the Tories since the May 2005 general election and the possibility of eight gains. The comparisons above are from the last general election. But in spite of all this the poll shows a significant weakening of the Tory position there since the last such poll in…
BBC News There’s been news within the past half hour that the Electoral Commission is to rule that donations to the Tory party by a company owned the controversial deputy chair, Michael Ashcroft, have been declared to be legal. The body has been examining 173 donations totally more than five million pounds in the five years up to February 2008. This will obviously help him and his party and take some of the sting away from the attacks. If the…
Daily Telegraph Will it settle Tory nerves after the narrowing polls? With the opinion polls narrowing significantly in recent days, David Cameron gave what will be his final address to a Conservative conference ahead of the general election, telling his audience that: “It is an election that we have to win because our country is in a complete mess and it is our patriotic duty to turn it around and give this country a better future… I think everyone in…
Morus wonders what would happen if… Imagine that the polls narrow just a little more over the course of a blood-spattered, mud-flinging General Election campaign of only 17 working days that leaves no time for clarity and perspective. Imagine that quirks of turnout and minor party support combine with a decent Lib Dem showing to befuddle the best laid plans of Mice and Men. Imagine that the Conservatives, in spite of winning the largest percentage of the vote, are not…