Latest PAPA Poll/publication Date CON % LAB % LD % GE accuracy ranking ICM/Guardian 21/11/10 36 38 14 2= Populus/Times 24/10/10 2= Ipsos-MORI/Reuters 14/11/10 36 39 14 2= ComRes/Independent 29/11/10 36 40 12 5= YouGov/Sun 11/12/10 40 42 9 8 Angus Reid/Politicalbetting 29/11/10 35 40 13 9= ***PAPA*** LATEST 36.6 39.8 12.4 – And the LDs back to single figures with YouGov For nearly a fortnight the YouGov daily poll has had the Tories equal or ahead…
Sky News Will it be chucked back at the Tories for years to come? What a 24 hours it’s been for top Tory advisor and former cabinet minister, Lord Young. Yesterday he was waking up to the coverage of the Spectator “Parliamentarian of the Year Awards” when he pulled off the honour of being the “Peer of the Year”. This morning he’s in the doghouse and after having to eat humble pie following his comments to the Telegraph that the…
Is outspokenness an underrated quality? Boris Johnson is probably not the most popular figure with Conservative high command just at the moment given his comments about the proposed Housing Benefit changes. Not only has he very publicly gone against the party line but he used pretty powerful language in doing so. It’s not the first time Boris has had to moderate or clarify the colourful language he’s prone to employing. In the past, he’s managed to stir up controversies with…
Final week campaign poster – May 2010 How will the blue team campaign next time? We all remember the closing stages of the May general election. The Lib Dems had surged following the debates and the Tories launched a furious campaign warning of what would happen if there was a hung parliament. In broad terms it worked – certainly in impeding the move to the yellows. But the blues were still 18 seats short of an overall majority and Cameron…
Guardian Has Clarke become the Lib Dems’ most popular Tory? On the afternoon of Monday September 20th Nick Clegg will have to make the speech of his life to his party gathering in Liverpool in what looks set to be THE event of the conference season. For the reaction of his audience could determine how long the coalition can survive and with it his own future. The stakes are high and Clegg has to be able to demonstrate that his…
Is this the problem with policy-making on the hoof? Cast your minds back to Tuesday April 22nd when Adam Boulton of Sky News was moderating the second leaders’ debate in Bristol. A week earlier Nick Clegg had suddenly burst onto the scene with his first debate appearance and the polls had changed dramatically. The general view was that Cameron had performed below par and the pressure was on him to do much better. In the second debate he was clearly…
Is the next fortnight crucial? In the thread on the Labour leadership last Thursday our Tyneside Labour expert, Henry G Manson, suggested that the unions who had backed Ed Miliband were a tad reluctant about putting their campaigning resources behind the man that they have endorsed. For punters that could be a crucial piece of information. For if we are to believe the only poll of actual voters in this election this showed DavidM well ahead in both the membership…
Betfair Politics Is there enough time left? With less than four weeks to go before ballot packs start going out the betting has moved further to David. The Betfair price is the equivalent of about 70% and has been tightening. Meanwhile the younger Miliband has seen his price ease as punters have become less convinced of his chances. The only thing we have to guide us here is the one YouGov poll of members and trade unionists who are eligible…