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Category: Polls

Why are Tories at their best in the morning?

Why are Tories at their best in the morning?

What’s Labour’s secret in the afternoons? Here’s a bit of fun polling from YouGov which shows the responses to the question “Would you say you are at your best in…” broken down by party party allegiance. As can be seen Tories are disproportionately “at their best” in the mornings while Labour voters do disproportionately better in the afternoon. In the evening the LDs are at the bottom although they get the top rating for at night. Who knows what this…

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ComRes: 2 in 3 say News Corp shouldn’t own only ANY of BSkyB

ComRes: 2 in 3 say News Corp shouldn’t own only ANY of BSkyB

And Labour open up 6 point lead The chart I’m featuring from the new ComRes telephone poll out for tomorrow’s Independent is the one that is being highlighted by the pollster and most probably the paper itself – responses to the question “The hacking scandal shows that Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation is not “fit and proper” to own any part of BskyB” As can be seen from the chart those interviewed were very supportive of the proposition with not too…

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The Tories and Cameron drop to new lows with Ipsos-MORI

The Tories and Cameron drop to new lows with Ipsos-MORI

And Ladbrokes now make Dave 4/1 to be next cabinet exit The third major telephone poll of the month, the July political monitor by Ipsos-MORI for Reuters, is being published this morning and looks set to have bad news for the blues. Although the actual figures are not yet available the above chart has been based on data from a Reuters news video which can be seen here. The Tory share of 32% is the lowest with the pollster since…

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Hacking barely registers in the latest Ipsos-MORI issues index

Hacking barely registers in the latest Ipsos-MORI issues index

Does this suggest the most people don’t care? The survey is out and it’s hard to discern whether the hacking scandal has had any impact. The polling involves asking unprompted what respondees think are the key issues and, to me, compares favourably with other issues polling where prompting might influence the response. MORI has been doing it in this week for nearly a third of a century. Because of the nature of the interview process fieldwork is carried out face-to-face,…

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What are newspaper weightings doing to YouGov polls?

What are newspaper weightings doing to YouGov polls?

Data source – YouGov Why are the views of Mirror readers magnified? Overnight we had the usual YouGov daily poll for News International and this showed Labour, on 43%, with an 8 point lead over the Tories with the Lib Dems on 10%. Over the past thirteen months YouGov has consistently been reporting higher Labour shares than the other firms which generally have the gap between the two main parties much closer. Thus in all but one YouGov poll since…

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Will the scandal impact on public views of the press?

Will the scandal impact on public views of the press?

Mark Gill puts it in an international perspective The phone hacking scandal is unlikely to make a huge difference to the public’s view of the press. The chart below shows the proportion of people who “tend not to” trust the press, from across a range of European countries. This survey was conducted in November 2010 and clearly shows that well before the present media scandal, the UK public stood out for being by far the most sceptical about their newspapers….

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Comres: 2 in 3 say Dave showed poor judgement on Coulson

Comres: 2 in 3 say Dave showed poor judgement on Coulson

And just 4% think Rebekah should NOT resign Overnight there was a ComRes poll for ITV news on the hacking scandal and like other surveys the sample was pretty unequivocal in its views. Fieldwork took place from Friday until Sunday with most respondents answering after Andy Coulson arrest and subsequent bailing. As well as the main figures what is interesting is the relatively small proportion of those polled who had no view on the hacking related questions. That suggests that…

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Is Cameron gambling with the Tories’ key demographic?

Is Cameron gambling with the Tories’ key demographic?

Why are oldies much more severe about hacking? As has been observed many times here before the older voters are the more likely  it is that they are on the electoral register and to vote. Also they are much more likely than the electorate as a whole to support the Conservatives. In 2010 the split amongst over 65s was CON 44: LAB 31: LD 16 compared with the overall GB figures of CON 37: LAB 29.7: LD 23.6. The over 65s…

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