Is Cameron gambling with the Tories’ key demographic?

Is Cameron gambling with the Tories’ key demographic?

Why are oldies much more severe about hacking?

As has been observed many times here before the older voters are the more likely  it is that they are on the electoral register and to vote. Also they are much more likely than the electorate as a whole to support the Conservatives.

In 2010 the split amongst over 65s was CON 44: LAB 31: LD 16 compared with the overall GB figures of CON 37: LAB 29.7: LD 23.6. The over 65s turnout proportion was 76% against 65% for the country as a whole.

If only the oldies had been allowed to vote Cameron would have won with a landslide so what they think matters.

The above chart shows the age break-down to one of the main questions in the weekend hacking scandal polling from YouGov.

This was to the question of “…of whether Rupert Murdoch and other News Corporation executives are fit and proper to own British media”.

As can be seen the oldest age segment is taking a much tougher view than the rest. Thus the 60+ group split 78-8 against Murdoch. That compares with 56-17 split amongst the 25-39 year olds.

I’ve featured the splits to just one of the questions but the pattern appears right through the poll. The oldies are much more critical than the sample as a whole.

This is just one pollster and I’ll be looking carefully at other surveys in the next week or so to see if they are also finding the same trend.

  • Hat-tip to @ProgPoll for Tweeting me about this.
  • Mike Smithson

    Comments are closed.