Browsed by
Category: Leader approval ratings

Dave’s dramatic ratings collapse matched only by Gordon

Dave’s dramatic ratings collapse matched only by Gordon

Comments 0 Comment

Is this not just a setback but a long-term nightmare? The weekly YouGov leadership ratings for David Cameron are out and add further to trend we’ve seen since the budget. He’s gone from a neutral 46% Well 47% Badly at the end of January to 32% Well 63% Badly this morning. Writing in the Sunday Times YouGov’s Peter Kellner observes that “Only Gordon Brown can match such a collapse in popularity, when he scrapped plans to hold a snap election…

Read More Read More

Miliband’s net ratings tumble 15 points

Miliband’s net ratings tumble 15 points

Comments 0 Comment

Why such a sharp drop in just two days? The weekly YouGov leadership ratings are out behind the paywall at the Sunday Times and show a sharp drop on polling earlier in the week. Today’s numbers have 28% saying he’s doing his job as Labour leader “well” compared with 60% who say he’s doing it badly. That makes a net minus of 32 points, just one point off his worst figure ever in June. David Cameron, meanwhile, is on 43%…

Read More Read More

Will October’s polling be crucial for EdM?

Will October’s polling be crucial for EdM?

Comments 0 Comment

Is the media narrative now about his leadership The chart contrasts the Labour lead in the overnight YouGov daily poll (6%) for the Sun and the deficit Ed Miliband has when the same sample was asked “who would be the best PM” (-14%). When the “best PM” question was asked just before the general election Gordon Brown trailed Cameron by just six points. The detail of the overnight polling shows that just 1% of LibDem voters named Ed as “best…

Read More Read More

Can EdM start to change perceptions this afternoon?

Can EdM start to change perceptions this afternoon?

Comments 0 Comment

Are leaders able to build from a low base? The above is the breakdown of responses to the big non-voting intention question in the overnight ComRes telephone poll for the Independent. It’s not good for Ed Miliband with a third of those saying they’d vote Labour in the disagree column. In a general election people are voting for much more than a party and these poll findings can be highly indicative. As I’ve repeated several times here the polling experience…

Read More Read More

Miliband now slips BELOW Clegg in ICM’s leader ratings

Miliband now slips BELOW Clegg in ICM’s leader ratings

Comments 0 Comment

Can Ed turn thing round at his conference? As well as the voting intention figures in the latest ICM for the Guardian there are the firm’s leadership ratings which ask the question of whether the PM/leaders/etc are doing a good or bad job. Cameron sees a substantial boost but the biggest winner in terms of change is Nick Clegg. As we saw in the previous thread the voting intention figures had the Lib Dems down three points which must have…

Read More Read More

Leader ratings: How Ed Miliband compares?

Leader ratings: How Ed Miliband compares?

Comments 0 Comment

Can a LOTO with low ratings ever win? Today, as reported on the previous thread, we’ve had the Ipsos-MORI September political monitor for Reuters. The voting intention figures were CON 35 (+1): LAB 37 (-3): LD 13 (-2) showing the changes from August. The poll also includes MORI leader satisfaction ratings which have been asked in the same form for nearly a third of a century. The firm’s question format “How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way ……

Read More Read More

Have we become disenchanted with all three party leaders?

Have we become disenchanted with all three party leaders?

Comments 0 Comment

How’ve they done as we end the political year? This week’s party leader ratings from YouGov are now out and show very little change on a week ago. I thought it might be useful to do a comparison from August 27 2010 – exactly a year ago. With Ed Miliband the change is from the end of September 2010. Back then all three of them were enjoying net positive ratings – now they all have at least double digit negatives….

Read More Read More

Is this Labour’s big nightmare?

Is this Labour’s big nightmare?

Comments 0 Comment

What if leader ratings are more predictive than VI? I’ve recounted here before how last March I gambled half my entire month’s pension on my strong belief that leader ratings are a better guide to election outcomes than voting intention numbers. Above is the polling that convinced me. Labour were comfortably ahead of the SNP in the voting intention (VI) polling and with the way seats are distributed look set for a substantial lead on seats in the Holyrood elections…

Read More Read More