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Category: Labour

Can Labour meet the 2012 Rallings local elections target?

Can Labour meet the 2012 Rallings local elections target?

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Will 600+ gains underpin EdM’s leadership? We are in that silly time that we see every April when the parties try to tell us how badly they are going to do in the May locals while the academic specialists who monitor this closely set out what they think we should expect. A central figure in this is Professor Colin Rallings (The R of the famous Rallings & Thrasher partnership who do thing like work out the “official general election notionals”…

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Was re-selecting Ken a monumental blunder?

Was re-selecting Ken a monumental blunder?

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How can he compete with the likable Boris? There’s a new ComRes poll for the London mayoralty which has, in the final two forced choice, Boris beating Ken by 53% to 47%. More interesting, given the importance of leader ratings in predicting outcomes, are the like him/like his party responses with ComRes using the format that was developed by Ipsos-MORI. As can be seen Boris has a massive likability lead over Ken and if the official LAB man makes the…

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What are the reshuffle risks for Ed?

What are the reshuffle risks for Ed?

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Henry G runs the rule over a possible Labour frontbench shake-up With rumours of an imminent Labour Shadow Cabinet reshuffle it’s worth examining the opportunities and risks for Labour. Ed Miliband is in a stronger position to dispense patronage than previous Labour leaders in Opposition now he has the ability to appoint who he wishes from the full ranks of the Parliamentary Labour Party. With this freedom comes added risks and the likelihood of net disappointment for many MPs. Reshuffles…

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Labour’s conference: The Henry G Manson verdict

Labour’s conference: The Henry G Manson verdict

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His prediction: “what needs to be done will be done”. This was a bad Labour Party conference. It was confusing, contradictory, let the government off the hook and needlessly created an array of hostages to fortune. It all the feel of an emergency party conference arranged with a fortnight’s notice – not a platform planned carefully to showcase an alternative government and Prime Minister.  This week wasn’t just a car crash. It was a 30 car pile-up. I could write…

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Will the conference help Labour do better in the blame game?

Will the conference help Labour do better in the blame game?

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YouGov Or is the party still going to be held responsible? Probably the biggest challenge facing the Two Eds is dealing with the perception set out in the polling featured above – who is responsible for the cuts? The good news is that compared with a year ago there’s been a drop from 44% to 40% in those blaming Labour. The coalition, meanwhile has seen its proportion up from 20% to 22%. The bad news for the red team is…

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ICM: Balls gets better ratings from LD voters than Labour ones

ICM: Balls gets better ratings from LD voters than Labour ones

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Will today’s speech start to win more support? New polling data issued today by ICM suggests that Ed Balls is rated more highly by Lib Dem voters than Labour ones. When asked whether the shadow chancellor was doing a good job/bad job the sample split 45% to 27% against the Labour shadow chancellor. Amongst those intending to vote Lib Dem the split was 38% good to 39% bad. With Labour voters, however, only 34% were ready to put him into…

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Henry G Manson on the challenges facing EdM

Henry G Manson on the challenges facing EdM

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How’s the leader going to do next week? The nature of Ed Miliband’s election victory a year ago has proved to be an occasionally irritating backdrop in what has been a rollercoaster year for the leader. From addressing the TUC rally in March, robotically opposing industrial action in June and pulling out of the Durham Miners Gala in July, Ed has failed to develop a clear position with regards to the unions. This has culminated in a combination of proposals…

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On an amazing morning my choice for the biggest story…

On an amazing morning my choice for the biggest story…

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What’ll be the impact of Labour’s Libyan links? We are spoilt for choice this Sunday morning with an amazing array of dramatic political stories including the Alastair Darling revelations in the Sunday Times and the Sunday Telegraph splashing plans to disband the Conservative party in Scotland. But the biggest must surely be the Mail on Sunday’s revelations of what is contained in a stash of documents and letters found in the British Ambassador’s residence in Tripoli. Read it here. The…

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