Browsed by
Category: Gordon Brown

Cameron hit most as all the leader ratings drop

Cameron hit most as all the leader ratings drop

Comments 0 Comment

“Is Brown/Cameron/Clegg doing well-badly as PM/CON leader/LD leader ..” “Well” “Badly“ +/- Brown 36% (36) 60% (58) -2% Cameron 48% (50) 44% (39) -7% Clegg 43% (42) 31% (28) -2% Are the Tories right to make Brown the issue? This is the second of my planned weekly threads on what many pundits believe are the best guide to forecasting general elections – the leader approval ratings. The comparisons above are the net change as compared with last week. These are…

Read More Read More

Do the debates mean these numbers are more important?

Do the debates mean these numbers are more important?

Comments 0 Comment

Q. “Is Brown/Cameron/Clegg doing well-badly as PM/CON leader/LD leader ……” 36-58% WELL:BADLY – BROWN 50-39% WELL:BADLY – CAMERON 42-28% WELL:BADLY – CLEGG Is this one of the consequences of the focus on the leaders? One of the strange features of British politics generally and this election build-up in particular is that almost nobody ever mentions the leader approval ratings. Unlike many other countries they are seen as not being irrelevant, the number of polls asking regular questions is declining and…

Read More Read More

Can Brown close down the “forces of hell” comment?

Can Brown close down the “forces of hell” comment?

Comments 0 Comment

Or is this going to linger through the campaign? After last night’s Jeff Randall interview with Alistair Darling it was obvious that the “forces of hell” comment was going to be raised at PMQs. Cameron put it well and Brown appeared to flounder. Darling sat next to Brown and the former seemed to be trying to back his boss up. In fact they were so close that at one point Cameron commented that if the two had “sat any closer…

Read More Read More

Are the “forces of hell” where the story goes next?

Are the “forces of hell” where the story goes next?

Comments 0 Comment

Sky News Is this a cert for PMQs today? They are back at Westminster this week and at noon we’ll see one of the few remaining PMQs before the campaign starts. With the bullying allegations and the style of the Brown Central operation being the theme of the week the Darling comments in a Sky interview last night look like keeping the pot boiling. For the Chancellor told Jeff Randall that Downing Street’s “forces of hell” were unleashed on him…

Read More Read More

What a difference a day makes?

What a difference a day makes?

Comments 0 Comment

CON 41% (39) LAB 29% (33) LD 19%(17) Is Labour paying the price for “BullyGate”? So there we have it, the latest YouGov daily poll as reported by Conservativehome with comparisons on the YouGov daily poll that was published on Saturday night for the following day’s Sunday Times. The turnaround is really quite extraordinary especially as the YouGov gap then was seen in the same area only a few hours ago in the February ICM poll for the Guardian. So…

Read More Read More

Could there be a better gift to Dave?

Could there be a better gift to Dave?

Comments 0 Comment

The Sun Is this a narrative-turning story? For Mr Cameron of Notting Hill it’s been a pretty bleak start to 2010. Nothing seems to have gone right as the Tories seemed to have moved from one gaffe to another. Fairly or unfairly the media narrative was about the party and his leadership and doubts had just started to seep in over the election outcome. But how things have changed in the past 24 hours. The publication of Andrew Rawnsley’s book…

Read More Read More

When Gordon learned that the marginals were different

When Gordon learned that the marginals were different

Comments 0 Comment

Does Rawnsley add to the case against the UNS? Tucked away in the Observer print edition of the Rawnsley book there are a couple of revealing passages which underline the case we’ve been making strongly on PB over the past fortnight on the Uniform National Swing – the simple way of estimating what given poll numbers mean in terms of commons seats at the election. On September 22nd 2007 Brown and his aides received a presentation on a marginals poll…

Read More Read More

Could an early election still be on?

Could an early election still be on?

Comments 0 Comment

And if so, are the odds worth it? After the abject failure of the Hoon-Hewitt plot, I commented that Brown would definitely lead Labour into the election and that the election would be on May 6. My reasoning was that the almost complete lack of support that was evident for Hoon and Hewitt’s position made Brown unassailable: it not only demonstrated Brown’s then current strength but would also so discourage any future plots from even getting that far. With Brown…

Read More Read More