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The PB AV debate: Part 1

The PB AV debate: Part 1

“Dyed In Some Wool” puts the case for voting NO When considering the upcoming referendum, AV seems to me not only to be the wrong answer, but the referendum itself is the wrong question. Let’s look at the main reasons for considering a yes vote. I want a more proportional system AV is not proportional and will not lead to parliament reflecting the national vote, most seats contested at the 2010 election would remain in the same hands. AV will…

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Is now the time to bet on Hague?

Is now the time to bet on Hague?

Is he now value for Tory leader? Just as you can buy bargain stocks in the midst of a stock market panic, there is rarely a better time to bet on a politician than when they are seen as being in trouble. Of course, if the trouble is serious then they might be best avoided, but sometimes the damage to a politician is more shallow than it appears. Taking advantage of the maxim “markets don’t react: they overreact” I wonder…

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The Blair-Brown drama: Tony’s story

The Blair-Brown drama: Tony’s story

This is from the Press Association report: “Tony Blair lays bare the divisions at the top of the Labour Party with the publication of his memoirs, focusing attention on his relationship with “maddening” Gordon Brown. Former prime minister Mr Blair’s book, A Journey, reveals the depth of the rift between the figures who dominated British politics between 1997 and 2010. Mr Blair said he was put under “relentless personal pressure” by Mr Brown but could not sack his chancellor because…

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What’s happening across the Atlantic?

What’s happening across the Atlantic?

Will Obama lose both the House and the Senate? So with Our Genial Host taking a well-deserved break in France, the inevitability of major political news breaking in the coming days is assured. We’ll try our best to be as responsive to news stories as possible (though I suspect Tony Blair’s book – with all proceeds going to the Royal British Legion – will dominate today’s news cycle), but hope I’ll be forgiven for kicking off with a quick preview…

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While you are going to be facing the Blair barrage…..

While you are going to be facing the Blair barrage…..

Amazon.co.uk Widgets …I’m off to France for a few days First thing in the morning we are taking the Eurostar to Paris and then the TGV to Bordeaux for a short break. As I think I mentioned I had a small operation in July and this took a lot out of me. I won’t won’t be posting very much but there are a number of guest slots lined up as well as the PB AV debate with arguments for and…

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Why would Boris run for re-election?

Why would Boris run for re-election?

And who else could be the Tory candidate? NB This necessarily-long article was written before this story broke this evening. How better to avoid running again than to resign over a fight with Cameron about cuts? When I last wrote about the 2010 London Mayoral election in May 2009 (smugly noting my bet on Oona King at 100/1 with Ladbrokes), I suggested that the main value in the market was likely to be found in the Conservative options. Other than…

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How should Labour’s electors regard this?

How should Labour’s electors regard this?

Guardian Is this a Number 10 bluff – or a double bluff? Just four days to go before voting starts in Labour’s election the Guardian is reporting that the contender that David Cameron fears most is David Miliband. Now how should we treat this? Is it on the level; is it a bluff or is it a double bluff? Could Number 10 be trying to impede DM’s chances by letting it be know that they fear him most? We all…

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