Browsed by
Category: General Election

++++ComRes: CON39/LAB36/LD15++++

++++ComRes: CON39/LAB36/LD15++++

Comments 0 Comment

Survey Date CON % LAB % LD % ComRes/Independent 01/10/10 39 36 15 ComRes/IOS-S Mirror 17/09/10 37 35 15 ComRes/Independent 05/09/10 38 34 18 ComRes/Mirror/GMTV 15/08/10 39 33 15 ComRes/Independent 08/08/10 39 33 16 ComRes/Independent 27/06/10 40 31 18 ComRes/Independent on Sunday 17/06/10 36 30 23 ComRes/Independent 31/05/10 37 33 21 ComRes/IOS-S Mirror 13/05/10 38 34 21 Blow for Labour in new phone poll There’s a new phone poll from ComRes out in the Independent where the fieldwork finished yesterday…

Read More Read More

Can Ed Miliband make inroads into these ICM figures?

Can Ed Miliband make inroads into these ICM figures?

Comments 0 Comment

Best for Britain..? All voters% CON voters% LAB voters% LD voters% CON alone 19 50 4 9 LAB alone 26 2 68 8 CON-LD coalition 21 41 3 41 LAB-LD coalition 13 4 20 25 Don’t know 20 4 7 17 Are the LDs and Tories just getting used to each other? The above table is based on data from the latest Guardian/ICM for which the full dataset has now just been published. It strikes me that this is increasingly…

Read More Read More

The Tory lead moves up after EdM’s speech

The Tory lead moves up after EdM’s speech

Comments 0 Comment

Poll Date CON LAB LD YouGov/Sun 29/09/10 41 39 12 YouGov/Sun 28/09/10 41 40 12 YouGov/Sun 27/09/10 39 40 12 YouGov/Sunday Times 24/09/10 39 38 15 YouGov/Sun 23/09/10 41 37 13 YouGov/Sun 22/09/10 43 36 14 YouGov/Sun 21/09/10 39 39 13 YouGov/Sun 20/09/10 42 38 11 YouGov/Sunday Times 17/09/10 41 39 13 YouGov/Sun 16/09/10 41 38 12 YouGov/Sun 15/09/10 42 39 12 YouGov/Sun 14/09/10 40 39 12 YouGov/Sun 13/09/10 41 38 12 YouGov/Sunday Times 10/09/10 42 38 14 YouGov/Sun 09/09/10…

Read More Read More

Will EdM take Labour back to Sept/Oct ’07 levels?

Will EdM take Labour back to Sept/Oct ’07 levels?

Comments 0 Comment

Autumn 2007 polling Date CON LAB LD YouGov/Sunday Times 16/11/07 41 35 13 YouGov/Telegraph 24/10/07 41 38 11 YouGov/Sunday Times 06/10/07 41 38 11 YouGov/Channel 4 04/10/07 36 40 13 YouGov/Telegraph 28/09/07 32 43 15 YouGov/Channel 4 25/09/07 33 44 13 Will they be at 40+ when he makes his 1st speech? Last night the News International daily poll from YouGov had CON 39%: LAB 38%: LD 15% – so the red team was just one point adrift. The big…

Read More Read More

Could Cameron really have side-stepped the debates?

Could Cameron really have side-stepped the debates?

Comments 0 Comment

Telegraph Is Ashcroft naive to think that this was an option? The Sunday Telegraph is leading with details of the strong attack on the way Cameron and his team handled the election campaign in a report from controversial Tory donor, Michael Ashcroft, which is being published this week. Given the way that his party’s double digit poll lead disappeared from Christmas 2009 onwards there is a lot in what he says about message and tactics. But from paper’s report Ashcroft…

Read More Read More

Does Labour always recover quickly from defeat?

Does Labour always recover quickly from defeat?

Comments 0 Comment

Election/Poll TORIES LABOUR LIBERAL Tories come to power 1951 48 48.8 2.5 Gallup after 6 months 41 48 9 Tories come to power 1970 46.4 43 7.5 Gallup after 6 months 42 47 8 Tories come to power 1979 43.9 36.9 13.8 Gallup after 6 months 39 43 15 Coalition comes to power 2010 37 29.7 23.6 MORI after five months 37 37 15 Is too much being read into the latest polls? Thanks to Professor Phil Cowley of Nottingham…

Read More Read More

Sean Fear asks: Why did the Tories fall short in London?

Sean Fear asks: Why did the Tories fall short in London?

Comments 0 Comment

Are there lessons for next time? Labour’s relatively strong performance in London was one of the most surprising outcomes of the general election. Prior to this election, Yougov had had an excellent record of predicting election results in London, and were forecasting a swing of 5-6% in favour of the Conservatives. On the day, the swing was just 2.5%. Overall, the outcome was not as bad for the Conservatives as it might have been. The party picked up some of…

Read More Read More

How long will the TB-GB psycho-drama plague Labour?

How long will the TB-GB psycho-drama plague Labour?

Comments 0 Comment

Daily Mail Is everything still being defined by the ex-leaders ? The big news for Labour as we move into September should be the start of voting in the first contested election for a leader since 1994. Instead the media remain obsessed with the Blair-Brown years and “what really went on”. Just look at this week. A couple of days ago the Mail on Sunday had the second part of the serialisation of the Chris Mullin diaries. Yesterday a short…

Read More Read More