|Tories come to power 1951||48||48.8||2.5|
|Gallup after 6 months||41||48||9|
|Tories come to power 1970||46.4||43||7.5|
|Gallup after 6 months||42||47||8|
|Tories come to power 1979||43.9||36.9||13.8|
|Gallup after 6 months||39||43||15|
|Coalition comes to power 2010||37||29.7||23.6|
|MORI after five months||37||37||15|
Is too much being read into the latest polls?
Thanks to Professor Phil Cowley of Nottingham University for highlighting this on LeftFootForward – that Labour has a history of making fast recoveries in the polls following election defeats.
His conclusion: “..Whatâ€™s happened in the polls is what youâ€™d expect: Government Making Cuts is Unpopular Shocker. Its only significance will come if too many Labour people think itâ€™s significant.”
There is a tendency to compare everything with when Labour returned to power in 1997 – but as he points out “the trouble is that the experience after 1997 is atypical”.
After 1951 Labour was out of power for thirteen years – after 1979 the gap was eighteen years.