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Category: Ed Miliband

Can EdM start to change perceptions this afternoon?

Can EdM start to change perceptions this afternoon?

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Are leaders able to build from a low base? The above is the breakdown of responses to the big non-voting intention question in the overnight ComRes telephone poll for the Independent. It’s not good for Ed Miliband with a third of those saying they’d vote Labour in the disagree column. In a general election people are voting for much more than a party and these poll findings can be highly indicative. As I’ve repeated several times here the polling experience…

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Where Will Ed lead Labour?

Where Will Ed lead Labour?

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One year in, has he an election-winning strategy? The opening of Labour’s conference today marks the first anniversary of Ed Miliband’s surprise election victory. That year has had its share of ups and downs – solid and continuing leads in most polls published, healthy gains in the local elections, avoiding blame for Labour’s debacle in Scotland or the AV result for example. He’s also consolidated his own position as leader and looks well set to lead Labour through to the…

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Miliband now slips BELOW Clegg in ICM’s leader ratings

Miliband now slips BELOW Clegg in ICM’s leader ratings

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Can Ed turn thing round at his conference? As well as the voting intention figures in the latest ICM for the Guardian there are the firm’s leadership ratings which ask the question of whether the PM/leaders/etc are doing a good or bad job. Cameron sees a substantial boost but the biggest winner in terms of change is Nick Clegg. As we saw in the previous thread the voting intention figures had the Lib Dems down three points which must have…

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Henry G Manson on the challenges facing EdM

Henry G Manson on the challenges facing EdM

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How’s the leader going to do next week? The nature of Ed Miliband’s election victory a year ago has proved to be an occasionally irritating backdrop in what has been a rollercoaster year for the leader. From addressing the TUC rally in March, robotically opposing industrial action in June and pulling out of the Durham Miners Gala in July, Ed has failed to develop a clear position with regards to the unions. This has culminated in a combination of proposals…

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If ICM did the daily poll would Miliband be finished?

If ICM did the daily poll would Miliband be finished?

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How much is his survival dependent on YouGov? Last Monday HenryG Manson, our regular Labour columnist, posted the following about the Labour leadership:- “There is no way in the world Ed Miliband will be allowed to lose the next election. If it looks like he cannot win then he’ll be gone. MPs, grassroots and unions all desperately want to win outright and failing that be largest party. I’ve never known the movement soon focused and hungry – more so than…

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Was Ed’s election “free and fair”?

Was Ed’s election “free and fair”?

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Does it create a problem of legitimacy? According to PoliticsHome a report by two academics at Bristol University into last year’s Labour leadership election says the contest could not be described as “free and fair democratic”. The trade unions, it says, created a ‘block vote’ to back Ed Miliband. The authors, Richard Jobson and Mark Wickham-Jones, say that members of Ed’s own campaign admitted that the result created a problem of legitimacy – something that was flagged here at the…

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How many of the leaders will still be there on election day?

How many of the leaders will still be there on election day?

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How many of Cameron/Clegg/Miliband will still be leaders of their parties on general election day? None One Two Three      The “poll” above is based on an an intriguing market from PaddyPower on how many of Cameron/Clegg/Miliband will still be leading their parties on the day of the general election. The options and prices are:- None 16/1 One 6/1 Two 6/4 Three 10/11 What I like is that is is just the numbers and not who. So if you…

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Stand by for “Explosive revelations” from Alastair Darling

Stand by for “Explosive revelations” from Alastair Darling

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Is this going to make Miliband’s task much harder? According to Atul Hatwal of Labour Uncut there are about to be some explosive revelations in Alastair Darling’s upcoming memoir:- He writes: “.Darling details the total breakdown in trust between the prime minister and chancellor. He singles out Ed Balls and Shriti Vadhera as key Brown lieutenants running what amounted to a shadow treasury operation within government. Brown’s demeanour was increasingly “brutal and volcanic”, mistrusting Darling to the extent that he…

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