It’s the NHS, stupid?
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Nigel Farage is now the favourite to be the next Prime Minister
Yesterday I said there was a chance that Nigel Farage could soon replace Kemi Badenoch as the favourite to be our next Prime Minister and lo and behold it has happened within twenty-four hours. Like those punters who backed Michelle Obama to be the 2024 Democratic Party nominee and/or the winner of the 2024 presidential election I just don’t understand their logic although I am more than happy to take their money. If you are backing Farage in this market…
Let’s talk about your favourite Tube lines
My favourite line(s) are the ones with Baker Street on them because I love Sherlock Holmes. TSE
Eclipsing Badenoch. Soon Farage could be the favourite to be the next PM
It is quite something that a party with a mere five MPs and their leader soon could be favourite to be the next Prime Minister. My view is Farage is a lay in this market because if it looks like Labour are going to be eclipsed by Reform (and potentially the Tories) then Labour will look at replacing Starmer before the next election (or Starmer voluntarily stands down.) So the value might be with the likes of Wes Streeting and…
Like Thatcher in her first term Starmer finds himself third in the polls
The one thing I find amusing is that people on social media and elsewhere are stridently predicting the outcome of the next general election some four and a half years away. Governments that become rather unpopular in the early part of the parliament can go on and win the general election, as I allude to in the headline Thatcher’s first term saw her party slip to third place in the polls in her first term then won a landslide at…
If the referendum were rerun today there would be a very different result
Like the Brexit referendum there’s a plethora of evidence that voters regret how they voted in the AV referendum. Like Brexit I expect the gap to get wider as the reality of decision confronts voters. Winning a majority of 174 on a vote share of 33.7%, FPTP seems iniquitous. It isn’t out of the realms of the possibility that Labour wins an even bigger majority at the next election with a lower share of the vore whilst the Tories and…
Brits really do not like the odious Trump
I suspect if Nigel Farage intends to remain Donald Trump’s personal proctologist then his and Reform’s ratings will take a hit. TSE
A popular government policy
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