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Category: Betting

Labour’s fifty year and counting woman problem

Labour’s fifty year and counting woman problem

Today is the fiftieth anniversary of Margaret Thatcher becoming Tory leader and she has been a trailblazer for women the Tory party has gone to have three further women leaders yet Labour haven’t yet elected their first woman leader in those fifty years. Since Thatcher was elected Labour have eleven leadership contests and in only four of those did any woman stand, by contrast the Tories have thirteen leadership elections since 1975 and in seven of them women have stood,…

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100 days in and so far it’s not looking good for Kemi Badenoch

100 days in and so far it’s not looking good for Kemi Badenoch

Today represents 100 days since Kemi Badenoch was elected Tory leader, and this polling contains a lot of grief for her, such as losing to Sir Keir Starmer, Nigel Farage, and even Sir Ed Davey on the best PM polling, the latter must sting given how dismissive a lot of Tories are towards the Lib Dems, which is odd given the substantial chance the Lib Dems eclipse the Tories on seat numbers at the next election. The really grim findings…

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Why being a Rejoiner can make you the next Prime Minister

Why being a Rejoiner can make you the next Prime Minister

One of the recent innovations in UK politics is party members getting to choose the new Prime Minister, a move that I have decried as it leads to things like Liz Truss being elected by 81,326 Tory members who drank the kool-aid and ignored economic reality. Truss and they thought those 81,326 votes gave Truss a mandate to change the country. If Starmer goes before the next election then it will be down to Labour MPs to first back the…

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The Trump legacy, the UK chooses Europe over the open sea?

The Trump legacy, the UK chooses Europe over the open sea?

Despite being potentially four and a half years away from the next election some people, particularly on social media, are calling the next election for Reform which seem a courageous call and may turn out to be as ridiculous as those who in early September 2022 thought Liz Truss would make for an excellent Prime Minister. This is not intended to be a discussion about Brexit but about Trump, for good or ill Nigel Farage is seen as very close…

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A reminder, people with class do not talk about class

A reminder, people with class do not talk about class

As the grandson of humble immigrants to the United Kingdom, like my grandmother, I have never quite got my head around the British class system. I’ve always thought the best way is to judge people by their actions not where they came from and I suspect that’s the thinking of most of the country. My view is that if Starmer’s advisers try and emphasise Starmer’s working class roots as a way to win votes then they are as deluded at…

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You might not want to back Reform to win the most seats even if you think Farage is going to be PM after the election

You might not want to back Reform to win the most seats even if you think Farage is going to be PM after the election

Yesterday’s news about a potential pact between the Tories and Reform helped crystalise a thought I’ve had about why backing Reform to win the most seats at the next general election might not be profitable even if you are confident that Nigel Farage is going to be the Prime Minister after the next election. I’ll explain the reasons why this is plausible I) A pact between Reform and the Tories. This might allow Labour to win the most seats but…

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