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Category: Betting

Sausage Party Conference

Sausage Party Conference

As gaffes go this is pretty funny and will see the urine extracted from Starmer (like the Tories have done with their Tweet) but it won’t shift any votes like the gaffe the Tory Party made when they made Liz Truss Prime Minister. TSE

Persepolis Now – looking at the future of Iran

Persepolis Now – looking at the future of Iran

It is easy to take democracy for granted. In July, the UK had an election. People voted in a free and fair manner, the votes were counted within 12 hours, and the sitting prime minister gave up power and departed the next day. Many countries are not so lucky. According to Freedom House, over a quarter of the World’s countries are classified as “Not Free” while another sizeable chunk are only “Partly Free”. While even the most successful democratic leaders…

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The State of the Union, Week 4

The State of the Union, Week 4

Slight – very slight – movements to Harris at national level for everyone, but it’s still finely balanced. PEC has moved enough to make Harris a slight favourite. For the Senate, the Republicans are still favoured, although the Morning Consult poll (Sep 9-18) putting Allred ahead of Cruz by 1 moves TX into tied territory for both 538 and electoral-vote. RCP have yet to add that poll to their figures. James Doyle

Jenrick remains the strong favourite

Jenrick remains the strong favourite

There was some slight movement away from Jenrick over the weekend following the revelations about one of his donors but he has largely recovered over on Betfair. If you’re not mentally prepared for Robert Jenrick as Tory leader then you should be. TSE

Donald Trump and knocking up the voters

Donald Trump and knocking up the voters

Despite polls such as today’s NBC poll putting Harris 5% ahead (the first time either Harris or Biden have led this year) I still maintain that this is a close election so this election will be one with marginal gains so I pay great attention to stories like the one AP are reporting in the Tweet above. As a keen activist I know that knocking on doors and working those maybes to yeses then knocking them up on election day…

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They shall take up serpents: God, Guns, Abortion and Trump

They shall take up serpents: God, Guns, Abortion and Trump

And He said to them, “Go into all the world and preach the gospel to every creature. Whoever believes and is baptized will be saved, but whoever does not believe will be condemned. And these signs will accompany those who believe: In My name they will drive out demons; they will speak in new tongues; they will pick up snakes with their hands, and if they drink any deadly poison, it will not harm them; they will lay their hands on…

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This should cause Jenrick problems but will it?

This should cause Jenrick problems but will it?

When Anna Coke married Colin Paget Tennant in the 1950s, for their honeymoon he took her to Paris, where the bride lost her virginity in awkward and painful circumstances, then her husband took his bride to partake in an orgy in a seedy Paris hotel, later on he took her to a stage show where a man made love to a donkey. I mention this story because I was struggling to think about a worse honeymoon than the one Sir…

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What we think about Reform

What we think about Reform

If Reform want to win more MPs at the next election then they need to lower the number of voters who think Reform are extreme, should not be near power, nasty, and dishonest. I’m not sure those figures will improve whilst Nigel Farage continues to be Donald Trump’s personal proctologist. TSE