The revenge of the cat ladies?
Whilst I think Donald Trump can win the election in November there’s now enough evidence to say it isn’t the foregone conclusion it was ten days or so ago. I think the value is backing Harris right now. TSE
Labour’s taxing problem
I can see why Rachel Reeves is trying to blame the Tories for the public finances and the public appear to agree with her but that may still lead to Labour becoming unpopular. Fewer than one in six voters want taxes to rise whilst a plurality of voters think tax rises in the Autumn budget will be down to the choice of the Labour government which could see Labour polling in the 20s by the end of the year, when…
Thoughts and prayers for Donald Trump watching Fox News, meanwhile on CNN
TSE
Let’s talk about sextet
With Suella Braverman going all The Inbetweeners and saying her ten nominees go to another school and not standing we now have the final six for the Tory leadership contest, I was laying Suella Braverman for this contest so her announcement is news to my ears and betting portfolio. I still think Kemi Badenoch won’t win and possibly the soon to be favourites will be Robert Jenrick and Tom Tugendhat. A reminder this contest has over three months to go…
Why the Tories find themselves in a pickle
In short they’ve annoyed different voters for different reasons and winning them back without annoying groups will be a challenge. TSE
A week is a long time in politics
This time last week Joe Biden was the Democratic Party nominee. TSE
Laying the favourite
The Sunday Times are reporting that Listening is not just smart politics but an attempt to answer the charge made by some colleagues that Badenoch is more often on transmit than receive. Hanging over her head are claims that a “dirty dossier” on her has been circulated, something about which she posted on Twitter/X last week. Her team breathed a sigh of relief that a biography by the former peer Michael Ashcroft, extracts of which appeared this weekend, contained no…
Crucial polling on Kamala Harris
TSE