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At the last election the Liberal Democrats polled nearly 600,000 fewer votes than Reform yet ended up with 67 more MPs than Reform. I mention this because I was speaking with a Liberal Democrat about the dog that hasn’t barked, the Lib Dems not surging in the polls given the implosion of both the traditional big two parties, but several pollsters have the Lib Dems in fifth place but 2024 showed that is irrelevant with good targeting. Starmer’s 2024 victory…

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TSE

This evening several media outlets have published an exclusive (sic) story about how Andy Burnham is planning on becoming an MP so he can succeed Sir Keir Starmer, The Sunday Times report Allies of Burnham, a former health secretary, are understood to have canvassed support from members of the Socialist Campaign Group of Labour MPs, which includes Burgon, Diane Abbott and John McDonnell. Clive Lewis, who offered last month to give up his Norwich South seat to Burnham, is also…

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I know a lot of attention will be focussed on Reform now having the most members but for me the most interesting thing is that Labour’s membership has cratered. But opponents of Reform shouldn’t get too disheartened, Labour under Jeremy Corbyn saw Labour membership increase to over 500,000 but it still didn’t stop Labour getting beaten in two general elections under Corbyn, size isn’t important, it’s what you do with it that counts, Nigel. TSE

Please note this thread does not constitute investment advice, please consult your own financial adviser before making any investment decisions relating to this article, the value of your investments can go up as well as down. If Liz Truss and Robert Tchenguiz succeed in getting people to pay £500,000 each to be a founding member then perhaps I have misunderestimated the appeal and popularity of Liz Truss. TSE

TSE

I never thought I would live in a world that America would be a risk to the West but that’s where we are now. As PBer Boulay noted on the previous thread ‘I saw [the plan to pull Italy, Austria, Poland, and Hungary away from the EU] earlier with an accompanying map and it was stark how by trying to disrupt Poland, Austria and Hungary it creates a very helpful buffer for Russia to try and spread its tentacles westwards.’…

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I am not sure there’s any value in these markets. A market I would like to see is if the SNP win a majority or not. TSE