politicalbetting.com

During my lifetime I have been conditioned to expect nothing but Labour landslides in Wales, so I struggle to comprehend a poll that potentially shows Labour could finish fifth in Wales but there’s now enough evidence to suggest it really could happen in the way Labour were stramashed by the SNP, areas that were an electoral oasis for Labour end up becoming electoral deserts. Rhun ap Iorwerth, leader of Plaid Cymru, is overseeing something special, he might end up saying…

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TSE

Normally when a former Chancellor defects that’s pretty seismic but not in the case of Nadhim Zahawi. Nothing summed up the descent under Boris Johnson than his appointment of Nadhim Zahawi, a man whose tax affairs ultimately led to his resignation. I agree with Luke Tryl’s analysis. The kindest thing I can say about this defection is that it has improved the average ethical standards and economic competence of both the Tory and Reform parties. TSE

I am opposed by the plans to reduce trial by jury however if if triggers a by-election it will give us a by-election. The Times report A Labour MP has made an extraordinary attack on Sir Keir Starmer’s planned jury reforms, threatening to trigger a by-election unless they are dropped, as he revealed he was once falsely accused of a crime. Karl Turner, the former shadow solicitor general, said he was “ashamed” of the prime minister and David Lammy, the…

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Back in September when Zarah Sultana launched a website for Your Party members I cautioned about signing up because it looked a real mess so this news comes as no surprise to me, The New Statesman notes Zarah Sultana’s unauthorised launch of a Your Party membership portal should be referred to the police, the Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO) has advised. Jeremy Corbyn’s Peace and Justice Project (PJP), which referred Your Party to the information watchdog last September over a potential data…

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As a proud Northerner I take these things seriously. Clearly Brummies are Southerners. TSE

There’s a lot of information to process from this polling from this but the things that stand out for me is that more voters don’t want Reform to form the next government than any other party. This fits my expectation that Reform will see a lot of tactical voting against them however nearly as many do not want Labour want to form the government after the next election. The next election is shaping up to be one giant unpopularity contest….

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TSE