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Today was Kemi Badenoch’s first PMQs as leader of the opposition and her choice of topic was a bit of a dud going after David Lammy for his past comments about Donald Trump. As we can see in the above YouGov poll being pro-Trump won’t be a vote winner, British politicians have form for dissing the self confessed pussy grabber, including plenty of Tories such as Boris Johnson. Starmer displayed some quality sass today which isn’t typical for him but…

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Whilst the final results haven’t been confirmed as ever it is the economy, stupid, the wave that has unseated incumbent governments across the world, people seldom reward governments and parties that make them poorer. T hat should give the Dems some hope for 2028, particularly if Donald Trump delivers on his promise to return America to the time of Smoot-Hawley, a tariff policy which helped see the GOP lose the next five presidential elections. TSE

If/when Trump wins then the gender split will be why. The latest results have moved Betfair back to Trump. TSE

I think the Indiana results are a bit of unwind because Mike Pence isn’t on the Republican ticket and Trump’s conduct towards Pence on that day of infamy that was January 6th 2021 but the exit poll from Georgia looks good for Trump. I am intrigued that Indiana hasn’t been insta-called by the networks yet. [Edit – CNN haven’t called it but AP have.) TSE

I am always wary when I see videos like this as they seem to infer record breaking turnout, they haven’t moved the Betfair market. TSE

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Earlier I backed Kamala Harris thinking she was value, my ability to move betting markets remains unparalleled as her odds lengthened ever further, so she’s even more value now. I find Trump and Farage’s comments interesting but I am probably reading too much in to them. TSE