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Author: TSE

Focus on the share of the vote not the lead

Focus on the share of the vote not the lead

Yesterday news broke Sir Robert Worcester, founder of MORI, had passed away. He used to post on PB in the early days, advising Mike Smithson and other PBers to focus on the share of the vote for the parties and not to fixate on the lead. PBer Viewcode, like myself had the pleasure of meeting Sir Bob, this is Viewcode’s anecdote, ‘I met him briefly. He was gracious, informative and didn’t have any “side” to him, despite the fact that…

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A damning indictment on our politicians

A damning indictment on our politicians

I thought this was either a typo or I was misunderstanding the figures but it turns just 1 in 25 voters think politicians are primarily out for the UK. That’s a lower figure than 7% of Brits who think Liz Truss returning to frontline politics would be a good thing. TSE

Life after Angela

Life after Angela

I am not sure who to back in this market but I think might be a market where the profitable option would be lay rather than back. One thing that makes this election so exciting is that this election will be conducted under the alternative vote system rather than archaic and flawed first past the post system which should favour the most transfer friendly candidate. One thing which should be noted as the eligibility to participate in this election was…

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I hope Nigel Farage bets

I hope Nigel Farage bets

I just cannot see why a party with a working majority of 157 would go for an early election in 2027. I am asking Betfair to put a up a year of the next election market because I would be laying 2027 like there’s no tomorrow. If the polls are as dire in 2027 as they are now then surely Labour would wait for as long as they could try and turn things around by 2029. My expectation is that…

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Farage goes to Holyrood

Farage goes to Holyrood

In the excitement about Angela Rayner’s tax minimisation strategies there was a More in Common poll about next year’s Holyrood elections and John Swinney’s strategy might be working. Although I wouldn’t Relax when seeing this poll because No still leads Yes in this poll 52% to 48%. A few weeks ago I tipped backing the SNP to win the most seats at 1/6 which is now 1/12 which I don’t think represents value now. Ladbrokes are offering a second place…

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About Liz Truss wanting to return to frontline politics

About Liz Truss wanting to return to frontline politics

Today is the third anniversary of Liz Truss becoming Prime Minister and earlier on this week she didn’t rule out a return to frontline politics and this polling confirms what people think about her tenure. If Liz Truss is to return to politics I cannot shake the feeling she will end up in Reform, Ladbrokes are offering a market on Boris Johnson defecting to Reform, I’d love to see a market about Liz Truss defecting to Reform. I have never…

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