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MORI finds growing support for the need for cuts

MORI finds growing support for the need for cuts

But voters split over whether the plans are right Ipsos-MORI has got the first post-CSR poll out and finds both good and bad news for the coalition. While overall there is acceptance that cuts are needed the public is evenly split on whether the government has made the right decisions. A total of 41% think it has made the right decisions and 38% the wrong decisions. Those who voted Conservative at the general election are most likely to think the…

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Boost for Cameron in first “Best PM” poll

Boost for Cameron in first “Best PM” poll

Best PM ? All voters% CON voters% LAB voters% LD voters% David Cameron 40 97 5 13 Ed Miliband 24 1 68 4 Nick Clegg 8 1 4 55 Don’t know 28 2 23 27 But is it just because EdM is relatively unknown? We now have the first data from YouGov of responses to the “Who would make the best PM” question since Ed Miliband’s election. This is one of those questions where the incumbent has a big advantage…

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Will UNITE think that Ed Miliband owes it something?

Will UNITE think that Ed Miliband owes it something?

First preferences Abbott Balls Burnham DaveM EdM UNITE 11129 6995 7993 21778 47439 GMB 3213 2548 3119 9746 18128 UNISON 2910 2141 2343 6665 9652 Other 21 bodies 8686 9934 4449 20000 12366 Total affiliates 25938 21618 17904 58189 87585 Overall split 12.28% 10.23% 8.48% 27.55% 41.46% UNITE SPLIT 11.67% 7.34% 8.38% 22.84% 49.76% Should one union be so influential? As everybody knows it was the heavy voting for Ed Miliband in the “associates” third of Labour’s electoral college that…

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Dilma Rousseff will be the next President of Brazil

Dilma Rousseff will be the next President of Brazil

Wikimedia Commons Dan Hamilton revisits Brazil one week before the election This time next week Brazil’s 190 million citizens will choose their fourth directly-elected leader since the end of military rule in 1985 and a successor to the centre-left President Luiz Inácio “Lula” da Silva. Given Brazil’s incredibly efficient system of electronic voting, results can be expected within an hour or so of the close of polls at around 23:00GMT. Voters in Brazil’s twenty six states will choose between centrist…

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Will it be “Yes we Ken” in 2012?

Will it be “Yes we Ken” in 2012?

But is he the right one to take on Boris? No surprise then. The 1/20 favourite for Labour’s London mayoral nomination, Ken Livingstone, has won with 68% of the vote and it all looks set for a re-run of the 2008 race with Boris. But I wonder whether a beaten two term ex-mayor can return like this? For while Ken will try to make Boris’s record the main campaign issue the blue team are going to dig deep into Ken’s…

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Sweden 2010 – Election Night

Sweden 2010 – Election Night

Dagens Nyheter Are the Social Democrats heading for a historic defeat? Today’s election in Sweden looks set to see the return of a centre-right government for the first time in decades, perhaps alongside the Social Democrats failing to top the poll for the first time in about a century. A possible fly in the ointment for a Reinfeldt second term is the rightwing Sweden Democrats breaking the 4% threhsold to secure seats in the Riksdag. If you haven’t already read…

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Anybody tempted by these bets?

Anybody tempted by these bets?

Market Odds Nick Clegg to be next PM 20/1 Nick Clegg to join Tories before next election 10/1 Nick Clegg NOT to be leader at 2011 Conference 5/1 2+ LD MPs to form breakaway party before next election 10/1 Or are they just Ladbrokes fund-raising schemes? Ever keen to find new ways to tempt us to part with our money Ladbrokes have put up the above range of market. I’d like a price on the eventuality of none of them…

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How long before EdM becomes favourite?

How long before EdM becomes favourite?

Betfair Politics What else could change the betting in the next 11 days? With just a week and a half to go before the Labour leadership race comes to an end there’ve been big moves in the betting following the Sunday Times YouGov poll of members and trade unionists suggesting that the younger Miliband brother has moved into a small lead. On Saturday evening before the news came out the EdM price on Betfair was 4/1. That’s moved in to…

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