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Month: June 2012

What are Boris’s chances of becoming Tory leader?

What are Boris’s chances of becoming Tory leader?

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Is he currently up to something? Looking right across the bookmakers and Betfair and there’s one clear favourite for the Tory leadership – someone who is not even qualified to stand. Ladbrokes and Bet365 make Boris a 4/1 shot, Hills have him at 9/2 while PaddyPower is offering 6/1. On Betfair the last price traded was 5.4/1. Yet the winner of two consecutive London mayoral elections does not meet the basic requirement of being an an MP and his second…

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Labour maintains its 8 point Populus lead

Labour maintains its 8 point Populus lead

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But there’s better news for Dave on “preferred PM” There’s a new Populus telephone poll out for tomorrow’s Times which has CON 33%(nc): LAB 41%(nc): LD 9%(-1): UKIP 5% So the Labour’s lead stays constant and the tendency for phone polls to find much smaller shares for UKIP continues. On leader ratings 24% said they were “satisfied” with Cameron as PM. 32% said they were “dissatisfied… but would still prefer Dave to Ed Miliband”, while 31 per cent said they…

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Why’s Salmond scared to use the INDEPENDENCE word?

Why’s Salmond scared to use the INDEPENDENCE word?

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Does the latest move smack of panic? The Scotsman is reporting today the latest in a series of developments within the SNP that suggests that all is not well with their campaign for INDEPENDENCE – which will be voted on in the 2014 referendum. The paper reports: “THE word “independence” could be dropped by the SNP because the party fears it is scaring off voters from supporting it in the forthcoming referendum. SNP politicians have been told to use the…

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Greece: The punters had Samaras’s victory right all along

Greece: The punters had Samaras’s victory right all along

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The biggest betting night since the UK general election The tight victory by Antonis Samaras’s ND party ended what was almost certainly the biggest night of political betting since the UK general election in May 2010. Overall on Betfair’s various markets more than £1.6m was traded a large part of that in the final 24 hours. Interestingly, in view of the way the election was being reported, the ND was always favourite. The longest price on ND that you could…

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Greece June 2012 – Election Night Special

Greece June 2012 – Election Night Special

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Wikimedia Commons Is this the most important election ever? It’s often heard from politicians seeking votes that “this is the most important election for a generation” – I have yet to hear an election being described as “not terribly important”. But today’s poll in Greece can be justifiably described as critical and potentially historic. Can a new government be formed this time, and will the country be continuing with the bailout in some form with ND/Pasok or taking a radically…

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How’s last night’s Euro 2012 victory going to impact on the Greek election?

How’s last night’s Euro 2012 victory going to impact on the Greek election?

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Will the exultation be better for Syriza or New Democracy? Today’s crucial general election in Greece takes place after a dramatic victory for the country in Euro 2012 which ensured that it has a place in the quarters finals. Fans were celebrating into the early hours and there’s little doubt that sporting success like this can affect the mood of a whole nation. Thus many Labour figures put down the party’s defeat in the 1970 election to the outcome of…

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The ComRes George Osborne poll (UPDATED)

The ComRes George Osborne poll (UPDATED)

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Should he worry about these numbers? There’s a new ComRes online poll out for tomorrow’s Indy on Sunday and the Sunday Mirror. As well as the latest voting intention figures – LAB 42+1/CON 32nc/ LD 9-2/UKIP 8+1the big focus is on George Osborne with no less than nine questions relating directly to him. These are:- Do you agree or disagree with this statement: I am satisfied with the way George Osborne is doing his job as Chancellor of the Exchequer…

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