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Month: December 2011

Tories take 2 point lead with ICM

Tories take 2 point lead with ICM

Is it so bad that voters want to stick with nurse? There’s a new ICM poll out for the Sunday Telegraph and it shows that the Tories are back into the lead. The figures with changes on the last ICM poll a fortnight ago are: CON 38 (+2): LAB 36 (-2): LD 14 (nc) ICM has the best track record for accuracy of any of the firms and carries out its fieldwork by phone. This is the first published poll…

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Is Cain about to quit the race?

Is Cain about to quit the race?

Where’s his support likely to go? The big story in the race for the Republican party nomination is an announcement that’s expected shortly from the one time front-runner, the pizza chain boss, Herman Cain, on whether he’s going to quit the race. His bid for the White House has taken a lot of blows in recent weeks and the latest, about a 13 year long affair, might just have pushed him over the edge. But we don’t know – this…

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Has a stealth attack been launched on public sector unions?

Has a stealth attack been launched on public sector unions?

Would local pay deals produce more public/private equality? The two big domestic events of the last week were the public sector strikes and the Autumn Statement, both of which were about the government’s spending plans. It’s perhaps surprising then that one part of the Chancellor’s speech hasn’t received more attention. What he said was this: “I can also announce that we are asking the independent Pay Review Bodies to consider how public sector pay can be made more responsive to…

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Are the LDs bound to Tory cuts beyond the election?

Are the LDs bound to Tory cuts beyond the election?

Henry G Manson on Danny A’s Newsnight comments After a public meeting in March Nick Clegg quipped to David Cameron ‘if we keep doing this we won’t find anything to bloody disagree on in the bloody TV debates.’ The comments were picked up on microphone riled some Lib Dems that a fixed-term coalition was now hardening into something more enduring. Of course since then there has been a wide range of issues in which the Lib Dems have sought to…

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YouGov: Labour still getting a lot of the blame

YouGov: Labour still getting a lot of the blame

Have we lost confidence in all of them? The above is one of the findings in the post Autumn statement YouGov survey and shows responses to the question:”George Osborne has delivered his autumn statement, in which the forecast growth of the British economy next year was reduced from 2.5% to 0.7%. Which one or two, if any, of the following do you think is most to blame for the low rate of growth?” Given the news coverage of the Eurozone…

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Is a Romney nomination looking less inevitable?

Is a Romney nomination looking less inevitable?

Betfair Politics Could Newt Gingrich soon become favourite? By far the biggest political betting story at the moment is the race for the Republican White House nomination in which real voters start making their choices in just 34 days. Big money is starting to be wagered and every serious political punter that I know is involved. The past 24 hours have seen dramatic changes as one poll after another in one state after another have seen Romney’s share fall and…

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