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I know a lot of attention will be focussed on Reform now having the most members but for me the most interesting thing is that Labour’s membership has cratered. But opponents of Reform shouldn’t get too disheartened, Labour under Jeremy Corbyn saw Labour membership increase to over 500,000 but it still didn’t stop Labour getting beaten in two general elections under Corbyn, size isn’t important, it’s what you do with it that counts, Nigel. TSE

Please note this thread does not constitute investment advice, please consult your own financial adviser before making any investment decisions relating to this article, the value of your investments can go up as well as down. If Liz Truss and Robert Tchenguiz succeed in getting people to pay £500,000 each to be a founding member then perhaps I have misunderestimated the appeal and popularity of Liz Truss. TSE

TSE

I never thought I would live in a world that America would be a risk to the West but that’s where we are now. As PBer Boulay noted on the previous thread ‘I saw [the plan to pull Italy, Austria, Poland, and Hungary away from the EU] earlier with an accompanying map and it was stark how by trying to disrupt Poland, Austria and Hungary it creates a very helpful buffer for Russia to try and spread its tentacles westwards.’…

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I am not sure there’s any value in these markets. A market I would like to see is if the SNP win a majority or not. TSE

TSE

Next year one of the major political betting markets will the be the American midterms and last night’s results do indicate it will be a humiliating night for the Republicans but a lot can happen in a year but if Trump keeps on denying the cost of living crisis then I suspect it will get worse for the Republicans. TSE

The Manhattan Institute has done a detailed poll of Republican Party supporters and the different groups they might fall into. The whole thing is worth reading, but one result that jumps out is on conspiracy theories. Republican voters are markedly more likely to believe an array of these, including 41% saying that 9/11 was an inside job, 37% endorsing Holocaust denial and 33% that vaccines cause autism. If we just focus on Holocaust denial and look at demographic groups, the report reads:…

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