Browsed by
Month: October 2011

St Paul’s – the Marf perspective + ComRes poll

St Paul’s – the Marf perspective + ComRes poll

If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints, please contact her at marfcartoons@btinternet.com Labour take 4 point lead in ComRes phone poll And the Lib Dems move to 14 percent The first ComRes phone poll since the end of September is out tonight for tomorrow’s Independent and shows several changes. Notably Labour are back in the lead and the Lib Dems are moving forward. The 14% for Nick Clegg’s party is the best the party has seen from…

Read More Read More

Does Salmond have a woman problem as well?

Does Salmond have a woman problem as well?

Scotsman Why the gender gap on independence? In recent weeks there’s been a lot of discussion about the gender gap in attitudes to the Conservatives and their leader, Mr. Cameron. Poll after poll has shown that men are more favourable than women. Well Alex Salmond seems to have a similar challenge in Scotland over attitudes to independence – which will, of course, be subject to a referendum. Men, it appears are much more enthusiastic than women – 41% to 27%…

Read More Read More

Punters flee Cain after harassment allegations

Punters flee Cain after harassment allegations

Politico Is another non-Romney contender biting the dust? There’ve been sharpish moves on the Republican nominee betting markets overnight following allegations on Politico that at least two female employees had complained about inappropriate behavior by Herman Cain when he’d be running the National Restaurant Association in the mid-1990s. The report says that the women complained of “sexually suggestive behavior by Cain that made them angry and uncomfortable”. Cain’s campaign has attacked the reports but it’s hard to conclude other than…

Read More Read More

How one MP let his betting position influence his voting

How one MP let his betting position influence his voting

Have you ever switched your vote because of your betting? James Forsyth has a nice political betting story in his Mail on Sunday column today. He writes:- One Eurosceptic Tory had an unusual reason for abstaining in the vote on an EU referendum: he didn’t want to lose a bet. Convinced that the rebellion would fizzle out, he had made a wager with a fellow sceptic that fewer than 60 Tories would vote against the Government. The deal was that,…

Read More Read More

Only Ed Miliband makes progress in the leader ratings

Only Ed Miliband makes progress in the leader ratings

The chart shows this week’s leader ratings by YouGov for today’s Sunday times with the figure highlighted being the net change for each on a week ago. Given the way the commons EU vote has been reported the Cameron camp might have expected something worse than just a -4% net change. The voting intentions in the poll had 39/36/8. UKIP were on 7% just one point behind the Lib Dems. The VI question, like with all the pollsters, asked how…

Read More Read More

What does Guido’s hanging petition say about salience?

What does Guido’s hanging petition say about salience?

Isn’t the same thing happening on the EU When Guido launched his e-petition on capital punishment three months ago I thought it an odd thing for his blog to be doing – but I had little doubt that he’d reach the 100,000 signature threshold within the laid down six month period. I was also confident that the anti-Guido move launched on the same day would get overwhelmed. For whenever the restoration of capital punishment has been polled then there’s usually…

Read More Read More

Will the European question bring Cameron down ?

Will the European question bring Cameron down ?

How does the Coalition navigate a new EU treaty? Considering that domestic matters are the bread and butter of politics, it’s surprising how often foreign affairs play a significant part in their leaving office. Of the last four, Thatcher and Major both failed to navigate divisions over Europe, Blair never recovered from Iraq. The combination of the referendum vote in parliament this week and the possibility of a new treaty to increase the institutional control within the Eurozone should therefore…

Read More Read More