With so much free polling data available LAB is wasting members’ money on the “should JC quit” 10k sample survey

With so much free polling data available LAB is wasting members’ money on the “should JC quit” 10k sample survey

Comments 0 Comment

The Mirror is reporting that Corbyn has commissioned a 10k sample poll to get views on his own future. It notes:- “Mr Corbyn is keeping the results of the extraordinary 10,000-person study secret from the rest of the shadow cabinet, and from senior staffers in Labour HQ. Only his closest ally, Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell , and his most senior political aides will be allowed to see the results of what is thought to be the biggest-ever opinion poll commissioned…

Read More Read More

Copeland and Stoke Central – the final push

Copeland and Stoke Central – the final push

Comments 0 Comment

A round up of some of the literature Latest LD communication delivered in Copeland looking like a freebie paper pic.twitter.com/kfgopx1T3s — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 19, 2017 CON A3 leaflet delivered yesterday in Copeland on this final weekend pic.twitter.com/KQW1fJF0hT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 19, 2017 LAB wrap round ad in local Copeland paper which obviates need for activists to deliver pic.twitter.com/nveukghAZl — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 19, 2017 Just 3 days left with so much hanging in the balance…

Read More Read More

Polling Matters review of the week: Immigration, Blair and looking ahead to Copeland and Stoke

Polling Matters review of the week: Immigration, Blair and looking ahead to Copeland and Stoke

Comments 0 Comment

Keiran Pedley reviews the events of last week and looks ahead to a big few days for Labour. On this week’s podcast I was joined by Leo Barasi and Harry Carr of Sky Data. We looked at Trump’s approval ratings in their historic context, YouGov polling for Channel 4 on ‘fake news’ and our latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey. You can listen to the episode below or by clicking here. Our Polling Matters survey this week was on immigration….

Read More Read More

Betting on whether Diane Abbott will be Shadow Home Secretary at the end of 2017

Betting on whether Diane Abbott will be Shadow Home Secretary at the end of 2017

Comments 0 Comment

William Hill have a market up whether or not Diane Abbott will be Shadow Home Secretary at the end of 2017. It has been a difficult few weeks for her, particularly over the Article 50 votes, so I can understand why William Hill have put up this market. I’ve spent a few hours trying to work out what the best option is, and I still can’t decide. I think if I had to choose I’d take the 3/1 but it…

Read More Read More

Main polling headlines from the US and in the UK

Main polling headlines from the US and in the UK

Comments 0 Comment

Trump slumps to historic approval rating low less than a month after becoming President Latest Gallup Trump approval ratings have him at historic low for a President within a month of inauguration pic.twitter.com/XzwKhltUeD — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 18, 2017 CON lead over LAB up 6% with Opinium Latest @OpiniumResearch GB Wide Westminster VI poll Con 40 (+3) Lab 27 (-3) UKIP 14 (nc) LD 8 (nc) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 18, 2017

YouGov’s BREXIT tracker is back to exactly where it was just after Theresa May became PM

YouGov’s BREXIT tracker is back to exactly where it was just after Theresa May became PM

Comments 0 Comment

For all the machinations opinion simply hasn’t changed Above is YouGov’s BREXIT tracker in which it has been regularly asking the same question “In hindsight, do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the European Union?” over many months.” As can be seen the most striking feature is the almost total lack of movement. In fact the numbers in the latest poll are exactly the same as they were at the start of August 2016 shortly…

Read More Read More

Losses for the LDs and Tories in latest local elections plus preview of one more contest tonight

Losses for the LDs and Tories in latest local elections plus preview of one more contest tonight

Comments 0 Comment

Bollington on Cheshire East (Con defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Bollington First 939 (51% +14%), Conservative 319 (17% -14%), Labour 239 (13% -8%), Liberal Democrat 198 (11% unchanged), Green 162 (9%, no candidate at last election) Bollington First GAIN from Conservative with a majority of 620 (33%) on a swing of 14% from Conservative to Bolington First St. Thomas on Dudley (Lab defence, resignation of sitting member) Result: Labour 1,466 (61% +4%), United Kingdom Independence Party 653 (27% +5%),…

Read More Read More