What do we want and when do we want it
Fun fact, 7 is the percentage of voters who want an election in January, 7% will be the Tory share of the vote at the general election if they hold a general election which straddles the Christmas holidays. TSE
Donald Trump and the SNP have a lot in common
Yesterday I wrote about how the SNP’s ongoing legal issues are impacting their finances which could see them do worse than the polls suggest and over the pond Donald Trump is experiencing similar issues, the Telegraph reports TSE
There will be no May election
The thing that really stands out from this poll is the unfavourable scores from Tory voters for Mrs May, where more Tories have an unfavourable score than favourable score. I think this unfavourability is driven by a decision she made in her first hour of her premiership and fired George Osborne as Chancellor, she could have done with his political antennae to help guide her through the Brexit process. Another factor is she wasn’t afraid to call out Boris Johnson…
The SNP’s sixth sense
The SNP treasurer must feel like Haley Joel Osment’s character from the film The Sixth Sense with just one major donation to SNP from a living person under Humza Yousaf. Joking aside this must worry SNP supporters and supporters of Scottish independence is that a poorly funded SNP will do badly at the general election because they are under resourced compared to their Unionist brethren. This may lead to the SNP underperforming in the polls as they don’t have the…
This is not the platform to launch a May election
If the budget was going to be the launchpad for a May election it has been as effective as the Maginot Line was designed to stop a German invasion, almost like the voters have bypassed whatever the Tories try and do and win election. TSE
We need more bureaucracy
Invest In Rad Tape To Save The NHS! The State of Process – The Process State – Maybe politicians read PB. I do wish they would read @Cyclefree’s headers, though. So the Chancellor is talking about investing in productivity to save money? Hmmmmm…. But before we think of the inevitable comedy of failure, what could we do different? What is the problem Chaotic and excessive processes slow work down – staff become a servant to the process, rather than the other way round….
What is Sunak up to?
Last year I wrote a piece pointing out that Suank was walking into an avoidable elephant sized trap from Labour and the timing of the election, fortunately he took my advice and confirmed that the election would be in the second half of the year. So I am perplexed by Sunak’s comments today as it would be courageous to hold an election when the current polling indicates on course for an epochal defeat that could rival Labour’s defeat in 1931….
Trump’s Chances – Part 1
This is a three part piece. The first, today, looks at the existential threats that Trump faces that could derail him. The second looks at the national polling, at the third party challengers, and how parties have been performing in real elections. And the final piece looks at the swing states and what is happening on the ground. At the end of which, I will, probably, opine on what Trump’s chances are of becoming the first returning President since Grover…