Talk of a May election refuses to go away but I still feel a May 2nd election is as likely as Boris Johnson telling the truth. The reality is whilst Sunak has around a fortnight to call a May 2nd election he needs to call it by the middle of next week to tidy up the legislative issues still outstanding in parliament and there’s no rush for that at the moment, you don’t have an election whilst key staff are…
I am very dubious about this alleged strategy from Sunak which reminded me of the brilliant film Blazing Saddles and the scene where the black sheriff bluffs and puts a gun to his own head to deal with the racist locals. Calling an election is one of the few things that Sunak has absolute control of and even though he is a poor strategist I don’t think he will cede that power to Reform defectors unless they actually wipe out…
Lee Anderson defecting to UKIP is and isn’t a bit of a surprise given his love of switching political parties, but only a few weeks ago Reform were saying Lee Anderson wasn’t for them. Sadly Lee Anderson is a hypocrite so will not be giving us a by-election, I suspect he’s doomed whatever banner he stands under at the next election. An interesting market would be to see how many Tory MPs defect to Reform before the general election, there’s…
Irish voters have inflicted a comprehensive and humiliating political defeat on Ireland’s political and NGO class, which overwhelmingly supported proposals presented as “progressive” measures updating the Constitution. Why? Shortly, the changes were badly drafted, unclear as to their purpose, erased women and seemed to reduce the state’s obligations to vulnerable groups, particularly the disabled and their carers. Some background Ireland’s 1937 constitution reflected a conservative Catholic approach to social matters. Article 41.2 referred to a woman’s “life within the home”…
Fun fact, 7 is the percentage of voters who want an election in January, 7% will be the Tory share of the vote at the general election if they hold a general election which straddles the Christmas holidays. TSE
Yesterday I wrote about how the SNP’s ongoing legal issues are impacting their finances which could see them do worse than the polls suggest and over the pond Donald Trump is experiencing similar issues, the Telegraph reports TSE
The thing that really stands out from this poll is the unfavourable scores from Tory voters for Mrs May, where more Tories have an unfavourable score than favourable score. I think this unfavourability is driven by a decision she made in her first hour of her premiership and fired George Osborne as Chancellor, she could have done with his political antennae to help guide her through the Brexit process. Another factor is she wasn’t afraid to call out Boris Johnson…
The SNP treasurer must feel like Haley Joel Osment’s character from the film The Sixth Sense with just one major donation to SNP from a living person under Humza Yousaf. Joking aside this must worry SNP supporters and supporters of Scottish independence is that a poorly funded SNP will do badly at the general election because they are under resourced compared to their Unionist brethren. This may lead to the SNP underperforming in the polls as they don’t have the…