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There will be no second referendum whether Labour backs it or not

15/9/2018 David Herdson Comments 0 Comment

Indeed, Labour best hope is to push for one – but to fail Brexit is not unlike Hurricane Florence. A huge amount of energy is being expended, mostly to destructive effect, dumping a load of output which is flooding out a great deal else, while not going anywhere fast. And just as Florence attracts storm-chasers, Brexit attracts any number of other eccentrics, on all sides, either to participate in the main thing or to chase rainbows. One such rainbow is…

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The Daily Mail’s change of tone Brexit should help Mrs May sell her Brexit deal

14/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Something feels different about the headlines in today's Daily Mail pic.twitter.com/LCFgwnOrlu — Jack Blanchard (@Jack_Blanchard_) September 12, 2018 At this rate the Daily Mail will soon be backing another referendum. Daily Mail backs May's Brexit plan and brands rebel Tories 'traitors'Editorial laments plotting by Brexiter Conservatives against PM as apparent ‘death wish’. https://t.co/95z3ppHkOZ pic.twitter.com/3RUPaZupRB — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 13, 2018 Welcome to this Bizarro world where in the eyes of the Daily Mail traitors are the hard Brexiteers. The tweets…

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Richard Nabavi on the US Senate elections

14/9/2018 Editor Comments 0 Comment

On the 6th November, 33 of the 100 seats in the US Senate come up for election. The Democrats currently hold 47 seats and two independents caucus with them, so they need a net gain of two for them to get control1. Unfortunately for the Democrats, the starting position is rather difficult; of the 35 seats up for election, only 9 are Republican-held, and of those 4 are solid and 3 are fairly safe. On the other side, of the…

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NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: Who are the centrists and who do they think they are?

13/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

On the latest episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast, Keiran Pedley and Leo Barasi discuss some recent polling by Opinium that looks at where Brits place themselves of the left-right political scale, who classes themselves as ‘centrist’ and what they think it means. Follow this week’s podcasters: Follow @KeiranPedley Follow @LeoBarasi Tweet

PB Video Analysis: Demographics, First They Lift You Up…

13/9/2018 robert Comments 0 Comment

Economically speaking, the last two centuries have been pretty good for much of Europe, North America and Asia. People live longer, are healthier, and are richer than ever before. Before about 1850, economies grew slowly, barely more than a percent a year on a per capita basis. Since 1850, they’ve powered ahead. This spurt is usually attributed to technology – you know, the industrial revolution, electricity, Angry Birds, that kind of thing. But something else also matters: demographics. In short,…

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Some Brexit betting specials

13/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

As we get closer to Brexit day Paddy Power have some Brexit specials up. The ERG have repeatedly shown themselves to be as impotent as eunuchs, so for all the talk of ousting Mrs May they simply don’t have the numbers so I think out of those bets Mrs May still being PM on the 1st of April 2019 is the best one. I wouldn’t want to touch the 11/5 on another EU referendum before the 1st of April with…

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Who will be Time person of the year 2018?

12/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

I’ve been looking at William Hill’s market on who will be the Time person of the year and my tip is out of that lot is Robert Mueller at 25/1. With several convictions, guilty pleas, and assorted plea deals the so called witch hunt is rather effective and hunting down witches. All of this explains Trump’s recent behaviour where he has publicly criticised Jeff Sessions and privately been annoyed at FBI Director James Wray makes me think we’re headed for…

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Twisting on 17: the hardline Leavers’ great gamble

12/9/2018 TSE Comments 0 Comment

Picture credit @DelMody on twitter “Vote Leave, Take Back Control” was the slogan. This conjured up a vision of a democratic army peacefully occupying Downing Street and resetting the priorities of government to be aligned with the needs of everyday people. The vision turned out to be a fata Morgana. The referendum was won by Leave but poor people didn’t rise up and take what’s theirs. Rather more surprisingly, rich Leavers didn’t rise up and take what’s theirs either. Some…

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