Given the scale of betting activity on the American election quite a few punters have been in contact asking when bets are going to be settled. The timing very much depends on the type of bet and those linked to the number of Electoral College Votes are going to have to wait until recounts, like the one for Georgia have been completed. Bets linked to overall vote shares will be settled once all the counting has been complete and there…
Lots of analysis at the moment about the US election following the victory of Joe Biden and defeat of Donald Trump. One of the features of US elections which has been critical this year is that there is a much higher level of participation in US elections by women over men. There are more women than men in the US, they are more likely to be registered and have a greater propensity to actually vote. Thus of those who took…
There’s been a lot going on recently, what with the resurgence of Covid-19, the new lockdown, the US elections and French terror attacks. What else has been going on that might be important but which might have escaped your attention? Lots, obviously. Here are three things that deserve more attention than they’re getting. 1 – Armenia has lost control of parts of Nagorno-Karabakh Armenia and Azerbaijan have vied for control of Nagorno-Karabakh (an enclave within Azerbaijan that is ethnically majority…
Boris Johnson is losing the support of his party. There are enough straws in the wind now to indicate his perceived usefulness is coming to an end, and his popularity is rapidly diminishing in the country. If there’s anything more likely to confirm MPs worries it’s the polling, and the most recent show him behind Keir Starmer as best Prime Minister and his support fracturing in the Red Wall. Many have had concerns about Boris all along, and many more…
Chart of Betfair market from Betdata.io – 7.50pm BST The Betfair definition of this market is “Who will be elected to be the next President of the United States of America as a result of the 2020 presidential election?” All we have had is media organisations calling it for Biden and it could be a few days before the counting is finalised. So I suppose there is a theoretical possibility that Biden won’t do it. However the odds of about…
It’s never too early to look forward 2020 is all over bar the shouting, though there’ll be plenty of that yet. The next two and a half months may not be pretty but their essential course is set: Joe Biden will become president of the United States on 20 January next year. He may not quite be assured of victory in any of the outstanding states but he’s favourite – very strong favourite in some – to take Arizona, Nevada,…
Chart – Betdata.io It is perhaps worth restating that the reason why the Pennsylvania count is going on for so long is that there was a deliberate decision of the Republican controlled state authority to operate it that way. With so many voters choosing to cast their ballots by post the majority of states arranged postal ballots be processed as they came in in the weeks before the election. Not so in Pennsylvania where the state decided that nothing should…