This chart in the FT shows how badly Labour have started, with business confidence in Labour falling like Hans Gruber from Nakatomi Plaza. The only positive for Labour is that they have a long time to turn things around but a Labour government being bad for the economy as a once in a century pandemic is not the narrative Starmer and Labour wanted. TSE
This should help left leaning parties overall is my expectation but this may the lives of opinion pollsters even harder as younger people are harder to sample. TSE
TSE
For me the single most significant event this millenium is the great financial crisis. I think it led to an expectation for the electorate that bailouts for the banks would become de rigueur for all companies if they ever got into difficulties and when non banks weren’t bailed out that led to resentment, particularly as living standards didn’t improve. I think it explains in part things like Brexit and Trump. TSE
TSE
This poll from More in Common is utterly barking in my view, the two best breeds, Huskies and Malamutes, aren’t listed. I’d love to know why Green voters think a poodle would be the best PM. TSE
Yesterday an interesting piece of polling was published INDEPENDENCE support would rise to 59% from 54% if it meant Scotland would be a republic, a new poll shows. Support for independence was found to have risen to 54% when undecided voters are excluded earlier this month in poll commissioned by The Times following the Scottish Budget. Campaign group Believe in Scotland (BiS) commissioned pollsters Norstat to ask the same panel if Scotland removing the King as head of state would affect how they…
A philosopher, an economist and a physicist walked into a courtroom. They could have left behind an amusing punchline; instead, the legacy of their visit was an uncertainty – which seems appropriate in the circumstances. The philosopher was Kurt Gödel and he was there for his citizenship test as part of his application to become an American citizen in 1947. It should have been a formality. Gödel had been living in the United States since 1940, working at Princeton after…