The latest polling from Ipsos brings some good news for Sir Keir Starmer with his ratings improving but the most important polling is showing support for rearmament even if it means higher taxes and/or cuts to public services. TSE
When betting on elections outside of America we might now have to start considering the impact of Donald Trump in those elections. We could see some Populist Right party leading in the polls in the UK for years then in the run up to say a 2028 UK general election and Donald Trump could have a real go at Sir Keir Starmer and the UK which leads to an even bigger Labour landslide than in 2024. TSE
It was the economy which won Donald Trump the presidency last year but the way things are going then it won’t be long until Americans start comparing him to a lettuce. TSE
This chart fom Ipsos explains why the Tories and Labour are polling somewhere near/below the test batting average of Geraint Jones. If young/middle aged people are no continually priced out of the housing market then Labour and the Tories will struggle at the ballot box. TSE
I must confess I am a little surprised by this polling, my expectation was that Nigel Farage is seen as an asset by Reform voters but this finding by YouGov will leave Farage feeling sicker than a cyclist with piles. In January there was a poll showing that Nigel Farage had better ratings with Reform voters than Rupert Lowe but this YouGov poll shows that expectation by me was wrong, this could be the consequences of the Rupert Lowe suspension….
I think the value is with Labour but I wonder if the Reform rammy will not have an impact. I was thinking about the Lib Dems winning the the Dunfermline and West Fife by-election in 2006 despite the party falling apart at the time with Charles Kennedy ousted due to his drinking problem, and two two leadership contenders Simon Hughes and Mark Oaten mired in scandal, the latter was truly epic. We didn’t know it at the time but Chris…
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We are only seven weeks into Donald Trump’s second term of office. It is difficult to grasp that small handful of a figure given the torrent of executive orders, firings, reorganizations, torn international treaties and social media mayhem. For those with the stomach to try and follow the day-to-day progress of Trump 2.0, it is head spinning and nauseating work. Most people’s outrage processing neural engines are screeching with overload. Where do you start? Bonkers on/off tariffs that seem likely…