Monday Call – July 5 2004

Monday Call – July 5 2004

Updated 1235 Online by-election betting now available The Government’s tactic of giving the minimum possible notice for the Leicester South and Birmingham Hodge Hill by-elections has meant that the media, and the bookmakers have yet to wake up to their huge significance. But William Hill now have markets on both by-elections available online. After an intensive week of campaigning many Lib Dems are now talking about a double – taking both seats. This would have huge consequences for both Tony…

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What’s going on at William Hill?

What’s going on at William Hill?

Online Market on Leicester South is opened – and then closed After days of waiting William Hill opened their online market on the Leicester South by-election today and then, a short time later they withdrew it. This is the page you get now on the event. This is the page you got earlier in the day. We are trying to clarify the position but we can only assume that so much money was going on one of the “runners” that…

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Putting the by-elections to the Google test

Putting the by-elections to the Google test

Which party is dominating the web? Those who bet on politics on the internet are going to have to wait a day or so before markets on the Leicester South and Birmingham Hodge Hill by-elections are available online but we are assured that they will be there. The latest odds are:- Leicester South- LIBD 6/5: LAB 6/4: CON 11/4 Birmingham Hodge Hill – LAB 8/13: LIBD 11/8: CON 10/1 Meanwhile political gamblers might want to assess the political party machines…

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“None of the above” – 7/2 second favourite for V-P choice

“None of the above” – 7/2 second favourite for V-P choice

John Kerry – Keeping them Guessing With just over three weeks to go before the Democratic Convention in Boston there’s speculation that the certain nominee, John Kerry, will announce who he has chosen as his running mate so the the two can appear together at an important fundraiser in New York on Thursday. Interest in who will be chosen is building because the polls still have him and Bush neck and neck. The handover of power in Iraq has had…

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Lib Dems the betting favourite for Leicester South

Lib Dems the betting favourite for Leicester South

Post updated 12.15 pm Will this be the scene a week on Thursday? At last – betting has now started on the Leicester South by-election and the current prices, from William Hill, are almost exactly in line with what Politicalbetting.com predicted here last Saturday. The market, together with one for the other by-election on July 15 at Birmigham Hodge Hill will be available online later today. The current Leicester South prices are:- LIBD 6/5 down from 11/8 after a £1,000…

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Will Osama be captured BEFORE Americans vote?

Will Osama be captured BEFORE Americans vote?

Betting on the Osama Bin Laden – George W. Bush double If you are tired of boring odds-on favourites in the political markets how about a bet that links George W. Bush’s re-election as US President on November 2nd with the capture of Osama Bin Laden? So many people are saying that Osama will be miraculously “found” just before the US election that there is now a healthy betting market on just this proposition. On the the Irish-based US-focussed betting…

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Can gamblers continue to rely on Britain’s electoral geography

Can gamblers continue to rely on Britain’s electoral geography

Why the scales are so tilted in Labour’s favour? In spite of the aftermath of the Iraq War, a sharp decline in personal popularity for Tony Blair, and poll ratings for Labour that are 10-15% below where they were at this stage before the last General Election, we continue to CALL LABOUR for the General Election. At the heart of this is the UK’s electoral geography and this is going to play a huge part as we approach polling day…

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Bet365 squeezes its “absurd” General Election Odds

Bet365 squeezes its “absurd” General Election Odds

But the bookies undercut Betfair in the big political markets Let’s hope that more than a few Politicalbetting.com users were able to take advantage of the Bet365 UK General Election seat price market yesterday which one reader described as “absurd”. As we pointed out in the Monday Call, the prices were completely out of alignment with what other bookmakers and the betting exchanges were doing and, indeed with what they themselves were offering in the main General Election market. The…

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