Sean Fear’s local election column

Sean Fear’s local election column

The Muslim vote Clementswood in Redbridge is one of the most strongly Muslim wards in London (31%, according to the 2001 census, a proportion which is likely to have risen since then). It was also, until last night, one of Labour’s safest wards in the Capital, giving Labour a majority of nearly 1,000 in May. Last night, the Liberal Democrats, who came fourth in May, won a by-election there, on a gigantic swing, perhaps indicating that Muslim voters are turning…

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Will the loans inquiry finally determine the exit date?

Will the loans inquiry finally determine the exit date?

How long before Blair is interviewed? There are worrying reports for Tony Blair in the Independent this morning about the way the police inquiry into the “cash for honours” affair is progressing with suggestions that one member of the Downing Street staff is proving “extremely helpful to the investigation”. In his report Andrew Grice quotes a source with knowledge of the police inquiry as saying “Only two ministers knew when a system of secret loans was set up. One was…

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Alan Johnson confirms he won’t be standing

Alan Johnson confirms he won’t be standing

Gordon’s coronation comes one step nearer The Education Secretary, Alan Johnson, this afternoon confirmed what has seemed likely for a few weeks – he will not be standing against Gordon Brown in the coming Labour leadership contest but will run for the deputy job instead. His position had seemed in doubt following the October Populus poll when he did not seem to be making a mark compared with Brown against Cameron. In this month’s Populus Poll Gordon’s position against Cameron…

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Why have a hospital when you can have a “Health Village”?

Why have a hospital when you can have a “Health Village”?

Surely this isn’t the way to shore up marginal seats? Before I came on holiday I was cycling past what I thought was part of my local NHS hospital when I noticed the above sign outside. Gone were the boards saying “Bedford Hospital – North Wing” and in their place were these for what is now, apparently, our local “health village”. Now I have no idea what a “health village” is but clearly it is not a hospital because if…

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Punters rush to bet on Betfair’s confusion

Punters rush to bet on Betfair’s confusion

The money is going on the independents being classified as Dems As the argument goes on over how Betfair will settle the “Senate most seats market” we now have the extraordinary spectacle of much more money being gambled on this issue than the election itself. Overnight a further £100,000 was traded in this market taking the total to nearly £240,000. Amazingly in all the months leading up to Tuesday election less than £50,000 had been bet. With the Democrat victory…

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Will Senate punters have to wait for three weeks?

Will Senate punters have to wait for three weeks?

ABC News says a Virginia recount would have to wait until after Nov 27 With control of the Senate down to whether Jim Webb has taken the Virginian Senate seat from George Allen a report on ABC News tonight suggests that things are not going to be settled quickly. This is what their website is saying “A win in Virginia would squeeze out a 51-49 Senate majority for the Democrats. Without it, the chamber would split 50-50 and Vice President…

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Will Betfair count these two as Democrats?

Will Betfair count these two as Democrats?

Money piles on as the uncertainty continues A major row is going on over how Betfair are going to settle their market on whether the Democrats or the Republicans won most seats in yesterday’s election for the US senate. At issue are the positions of two men – Joseph Lieberman and Bernie Sanders – neither of whom won on the Democrat ticket. Lieberman won re-election as the “Connecticut For Lieberman” party candidate – an independent political party he created after…

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How is Tony viewing Bush’s battering?

How is Tony viewing Bush’s battering?

Could the Midterm result increase the pressure on his departure date? With all eyes focussed on the final seats in the battle for the US Senate how is Tony Blair feeling about the way American voters have treated his partner in the Iraqi adventure? Could this massive rejection of the Republicans, which seemed so unlikely a few months ago, spill over into UK politics? Will this make Tony’s remaining time at Number 10 that bit more uncomfortable? For joining with…

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